Timberwolves vs. Spurs Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 8

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game Info

• Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video

The San Antonio Spurs and the Minnesota Timberwolves meet in Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Spurs are favored by 4.5 points in the matchup, which airs on Amazon Prime Video at 9:30 p.m. ET. The matchup's point total is set at 216.5.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Spurs win (50.6%)

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Betting Trends

• The Spurs are 43-34-4 against the spread this season.
• The Timberwolves have 38 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
• Spurs games have gone over the total 36 times this season.
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over on 37 of 82 set point totals (45.1%).
• San Antonio has done a better job covering the spread in road games (24-17-1) than it has at home (19-17-3).
• The Spurs have gone over the total more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 18 of 40 home matchups (45%). In away games, they have hit the over in 18 of 42 games (42.9%).
• Against the spread, Minnesota has had better results away (20-21-0) than at home (18-23-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Timberwolves' games have finished above the over/under at home (34.1%, 14 of 41) than away (56.1%, 23 of 41).

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama averages 25 points, 11.5 boards and 3.1 assists, shooting 51.2% from the floor and 34.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 made treys per contest.
• De'Aaron Fox averages 18.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 6.2 assists, shooting 48.6% from the field and 33.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 made treys per contest.
• Stephon Castle's numbers on the season are 16.6 points, 5.3 boards and 7.4 assists per contest, shooting 47.1% from the field and 33.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.2 made treys.
• Keldon Johnson is averaging 13.2 points, 1.4 assists and 5.4 boards.
• Julian Champagnie is averaging 11.1 points, 1.5 assists and 5.8 boards.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle's numbers on the season are 21.1 points, 6.7 rebounds and 5 assists per game. He is also draining 48.1% of his shots from the floor and 31.5% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.4 triples.
• The Timberwolves are getting 28.8 points, 5 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game from Anthony Edwards.
• Rudy Gobert averages 10.9 points, 11.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists. He is sinking 68.2% of his shots from the floor (first in NBA).
• Naz Reid averages 13.6 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.2 assists. He is sinking 45.6% of his shots from the floor and 36.2% from 3-point range, with 2.1 treys per contest.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 14.8 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Jaden McDaniels.

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