Timberwolves vs. Spurs Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 8

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game Info

• Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video

The San Antonio Spurs are slight 3.5-point favorites in Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Friday, beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video. The series is tied 1-1. The matchup has a point total of 216.5.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Spurs win (50.6%)

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Betting Trends

• The Spurs are 43-34-4 against the spread this season.
• In the Timberwolves' 82 games this season, they have 38 wins against the spread.
• Spurs games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 36 times this season.
• Timberwolves games this season have eclipsed the over/under 45.1% of the time (37 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• San Antonio has done a better job covering the spread in road games (24-17-1) than it has in home games (19-17-3).
• Looking at over/unders, the Spurs hit the over more often when playing at home, as they've eclipsed the total 18 times in 40 opportunities this season (45%). In away games, they have hit the over 18 times in 42 opportunities (42.9%).
• Against the spread, Minnesota has had better results away (20-21-0) than at home (18-23-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Timberwolves games have gone over 14 of 41 times at home (34.1%), and 23 of 41 on the road (56.1%).

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama is averaging 25 points, 3.1 assists and 11.5 boards.
• De'Aaron Fox averages 18.6 points, 3.8 boards and 6.2 assists.
• Stephon Castle is averaging 16.6 points, 7.4 assists and 5.3 boards.
• Keldon Johnson is averaging 13.2 points, 1.4 assists and 5.4 boards.
• Julian Champagnie is averaging 11.1 points, 1.5 assists and 5.8 boards.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Per game, Julius Randle gets the Timberwolves 21.1 points, 6.7 boards and 5 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Anthony Edwards' numbers on the season are 28.8 points, 5 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game. He is sinking 48.9% of his shots from the field and 39.9% from 3-point range, with an average of 3.4 treys (third in NBA).
• Per game, Rudy Gobert gets the Timberwolves 10.9 points, 11.5 boards and 1.7 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 1.6 blocks (sixth in NBA).
• The Timberwolves receive 13.6 points per game from Naz Reid, plus 6.2 boards and 2.2 assists.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 14.8 points, 4.2 boards and 2.7 assists per game from Jaden McDaniels.

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