Timberwolves vs. Spurs Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 15

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game Info

• Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video

The San Antonio Spurs take a 3-2 lead into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Spurs are favored by 5.5 points in the contest, which will be broadcast on Amazon Prime Video at 9:30 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 218.5 points.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Spurs win (50.4%)

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Betting Trends

• The Spurs have registered a 43-34-4 record against the spread this season.
• The Timberwolves are 38-44-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, Spurs games have hit the over 36 times.
• Timberwolves games this year have eclipsed the over/under 45.1% of the time (37 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• San Antonio has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered 19 times in 40 games when playing at home, and it has covered 24 times in 42 games when playing on the road.
• The Spurs have hit the over on the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (45%) than games on the road (42.9%).
• Against the spread, Minnesota has had better results on the road (20-21-0) than at home (18-23-0).
• Timberwolves games have finished above the over/under 34.1% of the time at home (14 of 41), and 56.1% of the time on the road (23 of 41).

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama's numbers on the season are 25 points, 11.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists per contest, shooting 51.2% from the field and 34.9% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.9 made 3-pointers.
• De'Aaron Fox is averaging 18.6 points, 3.8 boards and 6.2 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Stephon Castle's numbers on the season are 16.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 7.4 assists per game, shooting 47.1% from the floor and 33.2% from downtown, with an average of 1.2 made treys.
• Keldon Johnson is averaging 13.2 points, 1.4 assists and 5.4 rebounds.
• Julian Champagnie averages 11.1 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists, shooting 43.7% from the field and 38.1% from downtown, with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle averages 21.1 points, 6.7 boards and 5 assists. He is also sinking 48.1% of his shots from the field and 31.5% from 3-point range, with 1.4 triples per contest.
• Per game, Anthony Edwards gets the Timberwolves 28.8 points, 5 boards and 3.7 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• The Timberwolves are getting 10.9 points, 11.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Rudy Gobert.
• Naz Reid averages 13.6 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.2 assists. He is sinking 45.6% of his shots from the floor and 36.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 triples per contest.
• Per game, Jaden McDaniels gives the Timberwolves 14.8 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists, plus 1.1 steals and 1 block.

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