Thunder vs. Spurs Western Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 26

Thunder vs. Spurs Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, May 26, 2026
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 4.5-point favorites for Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals against the San Antonio Spurs at Paycom Center on Tuesday, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The series is tied 2-2. The point total is set at 217.5 in the matchup.

Thunder vs. Spurs Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (64.8%)

Thunder vs. Spurs Betting Trends

• The Thunder have registered a 39-42-1 record against the spread this season.
• In the Spurs' 82 games this season, they have 43 wins against the spread.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 45 times this season.
• Spurs games this year have gone over the total in 36 of 82 opportunities (43.9%).
• Oklahoma City has done a better job covering the spread in away games (20-19-1) than it has at home (19-23-0).
• The Thunder have gone over the over/under less often when playing at home, hitting the over in 22 of 42 home matchups (52.4%). In away games, they have hit the over in 23 of 40 games (57.5%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, San Antonio has a lower winning percentage at home (.475, 19-17-3 record) than on the road (.571, 24-17-1).
• Spurs games have gone above the over/under 45% of the time at home (18 of 40), and 42.9% of the time on the road (18 of 42).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.1 points, 4.3 boards and 6.6 assists.
• Chet Holmgren's numbers on the season are 17.1 points, 8.9 boards and 1.7 assists per contest, shooting 55.7% from the field and 36.2% from downtown, with an average of 1.3 made 3-pointers.
• Cason Wallace is averaging 8.6 points, 3.1 boards and 2.6 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.9 steals (third in league) and 0.4 blocked shots.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 9.2 points, 9.4 boards and 3.5 assists, shooting 62.2% from the floor.
• Isaiah Joe averages 11.1 points, 2.5 boards and 1.3 assists, shooting 45.5% from the field and 42.3% from downtown (10th in league), with 2.5 made treys per game.

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama averages 25 points, 11.5 boards and 3.1 assists. He is also sinking 51.2% of his shots from the floor and 34.9% from 3-point range, with 1.9 triples per game.
• De'Aaron Fox's numbers on the season are 18.6 points, 3.8 boards and 6.2 assists per contest. He is making 48.6% of his shots from the field and 33.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.8 triples.
• Per game, Stephon Castle provides the Spurs 16.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 7.4 assists, plus 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Keldon Johnson's numbers on the season are 13.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. He is sinking 51.9% of his shots from the field and 36.3% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.2 treys.
• Per game, Julian Champagnie gives the Spurs 11.1 points, 5.8 boards and 1.5 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 0.5 blocks.

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