Thunder vs. Lakers Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 7

Thunder vs. Lakers Game Info

• Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video

The Oklahoma City Thunder bring a 1-0 series record into Game 2 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Thunder are double-digit, 15.5-point favorites in the matchup, which airs on Amazon Prime Video at 9:30 p.m. ET. The point total for the matchup is 209.5.

Thunder vs. Lakers Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Lakers Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (74.4%)

Thunder vs. Lakers Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread in a game 39 times this season (39-42-1).
• The Lakers are 45-36-1 against the spread this season.
• Thunder games have gone over the total 45 times this season.
• The Lakers have eclipsed the over/under 52.4% of the time this year (43 of 82 games with a set point total).
• Oklahoma City has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (20-19-1) than it has in home games (19-23-0).
• The Thunder have exceeded the total in 22 of 42 home games (52.4%). They've done better in away games, eclipsing the total in 23 of 40 matchups (57.5%).
• Los Angeles has performed better against the spread at home (24-16-1) than away (21-20-0) this season.
• Looking at the over/under, Lakers games have finished over 23 of 41 times at home (56.1%), and 20 of 41 on the road (48.8%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.1 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.6 assists.
• Chet Holmgren's numbers on the season are 17.1 points, 8.9 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest, shooting 55.7% from the floor and 36.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.3 made treys.
• Cason Wallace's numbers on the season are 8.6 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game, shooting 43.2% from the floor and 35.1% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.3 made 3-pointers.
• Ajay Mitchell is averaging 13.6 points, 3.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 9.2 points, 9.4 boards and 3.5 assists.

Lakers Leaders

• LeBron James averages 20.9 points for the Lakers, plus 6.1 rebounds and 7.2 assists.
• The Lakers get 23.3 points per game from Austin Reaves, plus 4.7 rebounds and 5.5 assists.
• The Lakers receive 12.5 points per game from Deandre Ayton, plus 8 boards and 0.8 assists.
• Per game, Jake LaRavia provides the Lakers 8.2 points, 4 boards and 1.8 assists, plus 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• The Lakers receive 11.5 points per game from Rui Hachimura, plus 3.3 boards and 0.8 assists.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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