Texas Tech vs Baylor Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 4

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (17-4, 8-2 Big 12) aim to extend a six-game win streak when they host the Baylor Bears (14-7, 6-4 Big 12) on February 4, 2025 at United Supermarkets Arena.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Texas Tech vs. Baylor Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, February 4, 2025
• Game time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Lubbock, Texas
• Arena: United Supermarkets Arena

Texas Tech vs. Baylor Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Texas Tech win (79.8%)

Check out the betting insights and trends below before making a bet on Tuesday's Texas Tech-Baylor spread (Texas Tech -7.5) or over/under (143.5 points).

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Texas Tech vs. Baylor: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Texas Tech has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover nine times.
• Baylor has covered nine times in 20 chances against the spread this season.
• Texas Tech covers the spread when it is a 7.5-point favorite or more 53.8% of the time. That's more often than Baylor covers as an underdog of 7.5 or more (never covered this season).
• The Red Raiders sport a worse record against the spread in home games (8-5-0) than they do on the road (4-1-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Bears have a better winning percentage at home (.600, 6-4-0 record) than on the road (.333, 2-4-0).
• Texas Tech has six wins against the spread in 10 conference games this season.
• Against the spread in Big 12 action, Baylor is 5-5-0 this season.

Texas Tech vs. Baylor: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Texas Tech has been the moneyline favorite in 17 games this season and has come away with the win 13 times (76.5%) in those contests.
• This season, the Red Raiders have been victorious nine times in 11 chances when named as a favorite of at least -350 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Baylor has yet to win a game it played as the moneyline underdog this season, going 2-0.
• The Bears have played as a moneyline underdog of +275 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Texas Tech has a 77.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Texas Tech vs. Baylor Head-to-Head Comparison

• Texas Tech has a +336 scoring differential, topping opponents by 16 points per game. It is putting up 81.4 points per game to rank 35th in college basketball and is allowing 65.4 per outing to rank 35th in college basketball.
• Chance McMillian's team-leading 15.4 points per game ranks 220th in the country.
• Baylor has a +238 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.3 points per game. It is putting up 80.4 points per game, 47th in college basketball, and is allowing 69.1 per outing to rank 103rd in college basketball.
• Norchad Omier's 15.4 points per game paces Baylor and ranks 220th in the country.
• The Red Raiders win the rebound battle by 5.1 boards on average. They collect 33.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 129th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 28 per outing.
• JT Toppin leads the team with 8.4 rebounds per game (50th in college basketball play).
• The Bears win the rebound battle by an average of 4.8 boards. They are pulling down 34.4 rebounds per game (69th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.6.
• Omier is 11th in college basketball with 10.3 rebounds per game, leading the Bears.
• Texas Tech ranks 12th in college basketball by averaging 106.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 34th in college basketball, allowing 85.5 points per 100 possessions.
• The Bears' 102.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 42nd in college basketball, and the 88 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 73rd in college basketball.

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