Tennessee vs Miami (OH) College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 6 seed Tennessee Volunteers (22-11) and the No. 11 seed Miami (OH) RedHawks (32-1) will meet on Friday at 4:25 p.m. ET in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. The matchup airs on TBS.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Tennessee vs. Miami (OH) Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 20, 2026
• Game time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TBS
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Arena: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Tennessee vs. Miami (OH) Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Tennessee win (67.7%)

Check out these betting trends and insights before you bet on Friday's Tennessee-Miami (OH) spread (Tennessee -11.5) or over/under (149.5 points).

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Tennessee vs. Miami (OH): ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Tennessee has put together a 15-18-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Miami (OH) has covered 20 times in 30 games with a spread this year.
• The Volunteers have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered eight times in 17 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered four times in 10 opportunities on the road.
• This year, the RedHawks are 8-5-0 at home against the spread (.615 winning percentage). On the road, they are 10-4-0 ATS (.714).

Tennessee vs. Miami (OH): Moneyline Betting Stats

• Tennessee has been the moneyline favorite in 23 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (65.2%) in those contests.
• The Volunteers have not lost in eight games this year when favored by -719 or better on the moneyline.
• Miami (OH) has not yet lost when playing as the moneyline underdog this season, going 5-0.
• The RedHawks have never played a game this season with moneyline odds of +500 or longer.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Tennessee has a 87.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Tennessee vs. Miami (OH) Head-to-Head Comparison

• Tennessee has a +333 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.1 points per game. It is putting up 79.5 points per game to rank 93rd in college basketball and is allowing 69.4 per outing to rank 58th in college basketball.
• Ja'Kobi Gillespie's team-leading 18 points per game ranks 93rd in the country.
• Miami (OH) has a +503 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.2 points per game. It is putting up 90.6 points per game, second in college basketball, and is giving up 75.4 per outing to rank 226th in college basketball.
• Brant Byers' 14.5 points per game leads Miami (OH) and ranks 345th in college basketball.
• The 39.7 rebounds per game the Volunteers average rank second in the nation, and are 13.6 more than the 26.1 their opponents pull down per contest.
• Nate Ament's 6.6 rebounds per game lead the Volunteers and rank 209th in college basketball play.
• The RedHawks record 32.3 rebounds per game (154th in college basketball) while allowing 29.9 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.4 boards per game.
• Eian Elmer's 5.9 rebounds per game lead the RedHawks and rank 306th in college basketball.
• Tennessee ranks 105th in college basketball with 100.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 36th in college basketball defensively with 87.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The RedHawks rank first in college basketball averaging 112.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 134th, allowing 93.7 points per 100 possessions.

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