Spurs vs. Thunder Western Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 24

Spurs vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Frost Bank Center -- San Antonio, Texas
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

The Oklahoma City Thunder are slight 2.5-point underdogs in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals against the San Antonio Spurs at Frost Bank Center on Sunday, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The Thunder have a 2-1 series lead. The matchup has an over/under of 219.5.

Spurs vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Spurs win (56.2%)

Spurs vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Spurs are 43-34-4 against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Thunder are 39-42-1 this year.
• This season, 36 of the Spurs' games have gone over the point total.
• Thunder games this year have hit the over on 45 of 82 set point totals (54.9%).
• San Antonio has done a better job covering the spread in away games (24-17-1) than it has in home games (19-17-3).
• The Spurs have hit the over on the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (45%) than road tilts (42.9%).
• Oklahoma City's winning percentage against the spread at home is .452 (19-23-0). Away, it is .500 (20-19-1).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Thunder's games have finished above the over/under at home (52.4%, 22 of 42) than away (57.5%, 23 of 40).

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama averages 25 points, 11.5 boards and 3.1 assists.
• De'Aaron Fox averages 18.6 points, 3.8 boards and 6.2 assists.
• Stephon Castle is averaging 16.6 points, 7.4 assists and 5.3 boards.
• Keldon Johnson's numbers on the season are 13.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 51.9% from the field and 36.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.2 made treys.
• Julian Champagnie averages 11.1 points, 5.8 boards and 1.5 assists, shooting 43.7% from the floor and 38.1% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 made treys per contest.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's numbers on the season are 31.1 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.6 assists per game. He is also draining 55.3% of his shots from the field and 38.6% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.7 triples.
• Chet Holmgren averages 17.1 points, 8.9 boards and 1.7 assists. He is also draining 55.7% of his shots from the floor and 36.2% from 3-point range, with 1.3 treys per contest.
• Cason Wallace's numbers on the season are 8.6 points, 3.1 boards and 2.6 assists per game. He is sinking 43.2% of his shots from the floor and 35.1% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.3 triples.
• The Thunder receive 9.2 points per game from Isaiah Hartenstein, plus 9.4 rebounds and 3.5 assists.
• Isaiah Joe's numbers on the season are 11.1 points, 2.5 boards and 1.3 assists per contest. He is sinking 45.5% of his shots from the field and 42.3% from beyond the arc (10th in NBA), with an average of 2.5 treys.

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