Rockets vs. Warriors NBA Playoffs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 4

Rockets vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Toyota Center -- Houston, Texas
• Coverage:

The Houston Rockets are slight 2.5-point favorites in a decisive Game 7 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Toyota Center on Sunday, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET on Golden State Warriors. The series is tied 3-3. The matchup has an over/under set at 206 points.

Rockets vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rockets win (62.8%)

Rockets vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Rockets have registered a 43-38-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Warriors have played 82 games, with 41 wins against the spread.
• Games involving the Rockets have hit the over 45 times this season.
• Warriors games this season have hit the over 50% of the time (41 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• Houston has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered 21 times in 41 games when playing at home, and it has covered 22 times in 41 games when playing on the road.
• When it comes to point totals, the Rockets hit the over less often when playing at home, as they've eclipsed the total 20 times in 41 opportunities this season (48.8%). On the road, they have hit the over 25 times in 41 opportunities (61%).
• This year, Golden State is 18-22-1 at home against the spread (.439 winning percentage). Away, it is 23-16-2 ATS (.561).
• In terms of the over/under, Warriors games have finished over less often at home (20 of 41, 48.8%) than away (21 of 41, 51.2%).

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun's numbers on the season are 19.1 points, 10.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest, shooting 49.6% from the field.
• Jalen Green averages 21 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.4 assists.
• Amen Thompson is averaging 14.1 points, 8.2 rebounds and 3.8 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 1.3 blocked shots.
• Fred VanVleet's numbers on the season are 14.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and 5.6 assists per contest, shooting 37.8% from the field and 34.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.7 made treys.
• Dillon Brooks averages 14 points, 3.7 boards and 1.7 assists, shooting 42.9% from the floor and 39.7% from downtown, with 2.5 made 3-pointers per contest.

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry averages 24.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6 assists. He is also sinking 44.8% of his shots from the floor and 39.7% from 3-point range, with 4.4 triples per contest (first in league).
• The Warriors are getting 17.5 points, 5.4 boards and 5.4 assists per game from Jimmy Butler.
• The Warriors get 9 points per game from Draymond Green, plus 6.1 rebounds and 5.6 assists.
• The Warriors are getting 11.7 points, 5.1 boards and 3.4 assists per game from Brandin Podziemski.
• Per game, Buddy Hield gets the Warriors 11.1 points, 3.2 boards and 1.6 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocks.

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