Rockets vs. Warriors NBA Playoffs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for April 30

Rockets vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Toyota Center -- Houston, Texas
• Coverage:

The Golden State Warriors are 4-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center on Wednesday, tipping off at 7:30 p.m. ET on Houston Rockets. The Warriors have a 3-1 lead in the series. The matchup has an over/under set at 204 points.

Rockets vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rockets win (63.3%)

Rockets vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Rockets have covered the spread 43 times over 82 games with a set spread.
• The Warriors are 41-38-3 against the spread this year.
• Games involving the Rockets have hit the over 45 times this season.
• Warriors games this season have eclipsed the over/under 41 times in 82 opportunities (50%).
• Houston has done a better job covering the spread on the road (22-19-0) than it has in home games (21-19-1).
• Looking at over/unders, the Rockets hit the over less consistently when playing at home, as they've exceeded the total 20 times in 41 opportunities this season (48.8%). In road games, they have hit the over 25 times in 41 opportunities (61%).
• Against the spread, Golden State has had better results on the road (23-16-2) than at home (18-22-1).
• In terms of the over/under, Warriors games have gone over 20 of 41 times at home (48.8%), and 21 of 41 away (51.2%).

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun averages 19.1 points, 10.3 boards and 4.9 assists.
• Jalen Green's numbers on the season are 21 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game, shooting 42.3% from the floor and 35.4% from downtown, with an average of 2.9 made 3-pointers.
• Amen Thompson's numbers on the season are 14.1 points, 8.2 boards and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 55.7% from the floor.
• Fred VanVleet averages 14.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and 5.6 assists, shooting 37.8% from the floor and 34.5% from downtown, with 2.7 made treys per game.
• Dillon Brooks averages 14 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists, shooting 42.9% from the floor and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.5 made 3-pointers per game.

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry's numbers on the season are 24.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6 assists per game. He is also draining 44.8% of his shots from the field and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with an average of 4.4 triples (first in league).
• The Warriors are receiving 17.5 points, 5.4 boards and 5.4 assists per game from Jimmy Butler.
• The Warriors are receiving 9 points, 6.1 boards and 5.6 assists per game from Draymond Green.
• The Warriors are receiving 11.7 points, 5.1 boards and 3.4 assists per game from Brandin Podziemski.
• Buddy Hield averages 11.1 points, 3.2 boards and 1.6 assists. He is sinking 41.7% of his shots from the floor and 37% from beyond the arc, with 2.5 triples per game.

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