Red Sox vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 12

Odds updated as of 6:11 a.m.

The Boston Red Sox versus the Tampa Bay Rays is on the MLB schedule for Saturday.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Red Sox vs Rays Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (51-45) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (50-45)
• Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fenway Park -- Boston, Massachusetts
• Coverage: NESN and FDSSUN

Red Sox vs Rays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-190) | TB: (+160)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+114) | TB: +1.5 (-137)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Red Sox vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Garrett Crochet (Red Sox) - 9-4, 2.39 ERA vs Shane Baz (Rays) - 8-4, 4.34 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Red Sox will send Garrett Crochet (9-4) to the mound, while Shane Baz (8-4) will take the ball for the Rays. Crochet and his team have a record of 10-9-0 against the spread when he starts. Crochet's team has a record of 10-7 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. The Rays have gone 10-7-0 against the spread when Baz starts. The Rays have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Baz's starts this season, and they went 4-1 in those matchups.

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (60.5%)

Red Sox vs Rays Moneyline

• Boston is a -190 favorite on the moneyline, while Tampa Bay is a +160 underdog on the road.

Red Sox vs Rays Spread

• The Red Sox are hosting the Rays and are favored by 1.5 runs (+114 to cover) on the runline. Tampa Bay is -137 to cover.

Red Sox vs Rays Over/Under

• The over/under for the Red Sox versus Rays game on July 12 has been set at 8, with -114 odds on the over and -106 odds on the under.

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Red Sox vs Rays Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have been victorious in 34, or 55.7%, of the 61 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Boston has a record of 8-3 when favored by -190 or more this year.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 47 of their 95 opportunities.
• The Red Sox are 52-43-0 against the spread in their 95 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Rays have won 46.3% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (19-22).
• Tampa Bay has played as a moneyline underdog of +160 or longer in just two games this season, which it split 1-1.
• The Rays have played in 92 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-51-4).
• The Rays have covered 46.7% of their games this season, going 43-49-0 ATS.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Jarren Duran has an OPS of .745, fueled by an OBP of .315 and a team-best slugging percentage of .430 this season. He has a .257 batting average.
• Among all qualified hitters, he is 87th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 111th, and he is 80th in slugging.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 21 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 16 walks. He's batting .271 and slugging .477 with an on-base percentage of .314.
• Among all qualified, he ranks 58th in batting average, 113th in on-base percentage and 36th in slugging percentage.
• Rafaela heads into this matchup looking to extend his eight-game hit streak. During his last 10 outings he is batting .405 with seven doubles, four home runs, two walks and 13 RBIs.
• Wilyer Abreu has 69 hits and an OBP of .329, both of which lead the Red Sox this season.
• Trevor Story has been key for Boston with 90 hits, an OBP of .294 plus a slugging percentage of .413.

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero has accumulated 89 hits, a team-high for the Rays. He's batting .254 and slugging .506 with an on-base percentage of .294.
• Including all the qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average puts him 93rd, his on-base percentage ranks 134th, and he is 20th in slugging.
• Caminero enters this game on a three-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with two home runs and three RBIs.
• Yandy Diaz's .456 slugging percentage paces his team. He has a batting average of .283 with an on-base percentage of .338.
• Including all qualifying hitters, his batting average places him 32nd, his on-base percentage is 66th, and he is 58th in slugging.
• Jonathan Aranda has an on-base percentage of .401 and a slugging percentage of .497. Both lead the Rays.
• Jake Mangum is batting .313 with nine doubles, a triple, two home runs and 12 walks.

Red Sox vs Rays Head to Head

• 7/11/2025: 5-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 7/10/2025: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 6/11/2025: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 6/10/2025: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 6/9/2025: 10-8 TB (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 4/16/2025: 1-0 BOS (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 4/15/2025: 7-4 BOS (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 4/14/2025: 16-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 9/29/2024: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 9/28/2024: 7-2 TB (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)

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