Red Sox vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 12

Odds updated as of 4:16 p.m.

In MLB action on Saturday, the Boston Red Sox face the Tampa Bay Rays.

All the information you need to make smart wagers on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Red Sox vs Rays Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (51-45) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (50-45)
• Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fenway Park -- Boston, Massachusetts
• Coverage: NESN and FDSSUN

Red Sox vs Rays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-174) | TB: (+146)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+118) | TB: +1.5 (-142)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)

Red Sox vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Garrett Crochet (Red Sox) - 9-4, 2.39 ERA vs Shane Baz (Rays) - 8-4, 4.34 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Red Sox will send Garrett Crochet (9-4) to the mound, while Shane Baz (8-4) will take the ball for the Rays. When Crochet starts, his team is 10-9-0 against the spread this season. Crochet's team is 10-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. When Baz starts, the Rays have gone 10-7-0 against the spread. The Rays have a 4-1 record in Baz's five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (50.8%)

Red Sox vs Rays Moneyline

• Boston is the favorite, -174 on the moneyline, while Tampa Bay is a +146 underdog on the road.

Red Sox vs Rays Spread

• The Rays are at the Red Sox, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Rays are +118 to cover the spread, and the Red Sox are -142.

Red Sox vs Rays Over/Under

• The over/under for Red Sox-Rays on July 12 is 8. The over is -112, and the under is -108.

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Red Sox vs Rays Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have been victorious in 34, or 55.7%, of the 61 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Boston has a record of 8-4 when favored by -174 or more this year.
• The Red Sox's games have gone over the total in 47 of their 95 opportunities.
• The Red Sox are 52-43-0 against the spread in their 95 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Rays have been the underdog on the moneyline 41 total times this season. They've gone 19-22 in those games.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 2-2 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +146 or longer (50%).
• The Rays have played in 92 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-51-4).
• The Rays have collected a 43-49-0 record against the spread this season (covering 46.7% of the time).

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Jarren Duran leads Boston in slugging percentage (.430) thanks to 42 extra-base hits. He has a .257 batting average and an on-base percentage of .315.
• Among qualified hitters in the majors, he ranks 87th in batting average, 111th in on-base percentage, and 80th in slugging.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .271 with 21 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 16 walks, while slugging .477 with an on-base percentage of .314.
• Among all qualifying players, he is 58th in batting average, 113th in on-base percentage and 36th in slugging percentage.
• Rafaela brings an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is batting .405 with seven doubles, four home runs, two walks and 13 RBIs.
• Wilyer Abreu leads his team in OBP (.329) and total hits (69) this season.
• Trevor Story is batting .253 with a .294 OBP and 57 RBI for Boston this season.

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero has accumulated 89 hits, a team-high for the Rays. He's batting .254 and slugging .506 with an on-base percentage of .294.
• Including all qualifying hitters in the majors, he ranks 92nd in batting average, 134th in on-base percentage and 19th in slugging percentage.
• Caminero enters this game on a three-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .190 with two home runs and three RBIs.
• Yandy Diaz's .456 slugging percentage paces his team. He has a batting average of .283 with an on-base percentage of .338.
• Including all qualified hitters, his batting average places him 31st, his on-base percentage ranks 66th, and he is 58th in slugging.
• Jonathan Aranda has a .401 on-base percentage and a .497 slugging percentage, both team-best numbers for the Rays.
• Jake Mangum has nine doubles, a triple, two home runs and 12 walks while hitting .313.

Red Sox vs Rays Head to Head

• 7/11/2025: 5-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 7/10/2025: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 6/11/2025: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 6/10/2025: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 6/9/2025: 10-8 TB (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 4/16/2025: 1-0 BOS (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 4/15/2025: 7-4 BOS (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 4/14/2025: 16-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 9/29/2024: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 9/28/2024: 7-2 TB (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)

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