Red Sox vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 10

Odds updated as of 1:11 p.m.

Sunday's slate in the MLB includes a matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Red Sox vs Rays Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (17-22) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (25-13)
• Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
• Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fenway Park -- Boston, Massachusetts
• Coverage: NESN and Rays.TV

Red Sox vs Rays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-148) | TB: (+126)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+142) | TB: +1.5 (-172)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (+100) | Under: (-122)

Red Sox vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Payton Tolle (Red Sox) - 1-1, 2.04 ERA vs Nick Martínez (Rays) - 3-1, 1.71 ERA

The probable pitchers are Payton Tolle (1-1) for the Red Sox and Nick Martinez (3-1) for the Rays. Tolle and his team have yet to cover the spread in any of their three chances this season. Tolle's team won his only start as a favorite this season. When Martinez starts, the Rays have gone 6-1-0 against the spread. The Rays have been the moneyline underdog in five of Martínez's starts this season, and they went 4-1 in those games.

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (54%)

Red Sox vs Rays Moneyline

• Boston is a -148 favorite on the moneyline, while Tampa Bay is a +126 underdog on the road.

Red Sox vs Rays Spread

• The Rays are +1.5 on the spread (-172 to cover), and Boston is +142 to cover the runline.

Red Sox vs Rays Over/Under

• Red Sox versus Rays on May 10 has an over/under of 8.5 runs, with the odds on the over +100 and the under set at -122.

Bet on Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays on FanDuel today!

Red Sox vs Rays Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have been favorites in 26 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (46.2%) in those contests.
• This year Boston has won two of six games when listed as at least -148 on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox's games have gone over the total in 19 of their 39 opportunities.
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 14-25-0 against the spread this season.
• The Rays have compiled a 10-7 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 58.8% of those games).
• Tampa Bay has played three times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +126 or longer, and claimed a victory in each game.
• The Rays have played in 37 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 19 times (19-18-0).
• The Rays have covered 62.2% of their games this season, going 23-14-0 ATS.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu leads Boston with 43 hits and an OBP of .387, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .486. He's batting .303.
• Among the qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 21st, his on-base percentage ranks 21st, and he is 35th in slugging.
• Abreu will look for his third straight game with a hit in this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
• Willson Contreras has four doubles, eight home runs and 20 walks. He's batting .259 and slugging .467 with an on-base percentage of .376.
• He is 69th in batting average, 32nd in on-base percentage and 45th in slugging among qualifying hitters.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 35 hits this season and has a slash line of .278/.345/.413.
• Rafaela takes a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .400 with two home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
• Jarren Duran has four home runs, 18 RBI and a batting average of .194 this season.
• Duran takes a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBIs.

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero has totaled 36 hits, a team-best for the Rays. He's batting .252 and slugging .483 with an on-base percentage of .341.
• Including all the qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average is 82nd, his on-base percentage is 75th, and he is 36th in slugging.
• Yandy Diaz's .397 OBP leads his team. He has a batting average of .316 while slugging .471.
• Including all qualified hitters, he ranks 12th in batting average, 12th in on-base percentage and 43rd in slugging percentage.
• Jonathan Aranda is hitting .265 with five doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks.
• Chandler Simpson's .354 slugging percentage paces his team.

Red Sox vs Rays Head to Head

• 5/8/2026: 2-0 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 5/7/2026: 8-4 TB (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/21/2025: 7-3 TB (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 9/20/2025: 6-3 BOS (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 9/19/2025: 11-7 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 7/13/2025: 4-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/12/2025: 1-0 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -174, Underdog Moneyline: +146)
• 7/11/2025: 5-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 7/10/2025: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 6/11/2025: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!