Rays vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 11

Odds updated as of 7:14 p.m.
The MLB's Friday schedule includes the Boston Red Sox taking on the Tampa Bay Rays.
We've got you covered, in terms of the most important information regarding this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Red Sox vs Rays Game Info
- Boston Red Sox (50-45) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (50-44)
- Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Venue: Fenway Park -- Boston, Massachusetts
- Coverage: NESN and FDSSUN
Red Sox vs Rays Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: BOS: (-112) | TB: (-104)
- Spread: BOS: +1.5 (-176) | TB: -1.5 (+146)
- Total: 9 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)
Red Sox vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Hunter Dobbins (Red Sox) - 4-1, 4.10 ERA vs Drew Rasmussen (Rays) - 7-5, 2.82 ERA
The Red Sox will give the nod to Hunter Dobbins (4-1) versus the Rays and Drew Rasmussen (7-5). Dobbins and his team are 9-1-0 ATS this season when he starts. Dobbins' team has a record of 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. The Rays have gone 9-7-0 ATS in Rasmussen's 16 starts with a set spread. The Rays are 2-2 in Rasmussen's four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
Red Sox vs Rays Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (60.5%)
Red Sox vs Rays Moneyline
- The moneyline numbers for Red Sox vs. Rays reveal Boston as the favorite (-112) and Tampa Bay as the underdog (-104) on the road.
Red Sox vs Rays Spread
- The Rays are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Red Sox. The Rays are +146 to cover, while the Red Sox are -176 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.
Red Sox vs Rays Over/Under
- Red Sox versus Rays on July 11 has an over/under of 9 runs, with the odds on the over -114 and the under set at -106.
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Red Sox vs Rays Betting Trends
- The Red Sox have been favorites in 60 games this season and have come away with the win 33 times (55%) in those contests.
- This season Boston has been victorious 32 times in 56 chances when named as a favorite of at least -112 on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox's games have gone over the total in 47 of their 94 opportunities.
- The Red Sox are 51-43-0 against the spread in their 94 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Rays have been the underdog on the moneyline 40 total times this season. They've finished 19-21 in those games.
- Tampa Bay has gone 19-19 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -104 or longer (50%).
- The Rays have played in 91 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-51-3).
- The Rays have collected a 43-48-0 record ATS this season.
Red Sox Player Leaders
- Jarren Duran leads Boston in slugging percentage (.434) thanks to 42 extra-base hits. He has a .260 batting average and an on-base percentage of .318.
- Among qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 76th, his on-base percentage ranks 100th, and he is 76th in slugging.
- Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .268 with 21 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 16 walks, while slugging .467 with an on-base percentage of .312.
- Among qualifying batters, he ranks 62nd in batting average, 111th in on-base percentage and 47th in slugging percentage.
- Rafaela takes a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .378 with eight doubles, three home runs, two walks and 11 RBIs.
- Wilyer Abreu leads Boston with 68 hits and an OBP of .325 this season.
- Trevor Story has 15 home runs, 57 RBI and a batting average of .249 this season.
Rays Player Leaders
- Junior Caminero paces the Rays with 88 hits. He's batting .254 and slugging .509 with an on-base percentage of .295.
- Including all qualified hitters, he ranks 94th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 132nd and he is 17th in slugging.
- Yandy Diaz is slugging .461 to pace his team. He has a batting average of .287 with an on-base percentage of .340.
- His batting average ranks 23rd among all qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 61st, and he is 51st in slugging.
- Jonathan Aranda has racked up a team-best .401 on-base percentage.
- Jake Mangum is batting .309 with nine doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 walks.
Red Sox vs Rays Head to Head
- 7/10/2025: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 6/11/2025: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
- 6/10/2025: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
- 6/9/2025: 10-8 TB (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
- 4/16/2025: 1-0 BOS (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 4/15/2025: 7-4 BOS (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 4/14/2025: 16-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
- 9/29/2024: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
- 9/28/2024: 7-2 TB (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 9/27/2024: 2-1 TB (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
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