Phillies vs Padres Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 11

Odds updated as of 9:12 p.m.

The MLB's Friday slate includes the Philadelphia Phillies facing the San Diego Padres.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Phillies vs Padres Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies (54-39) vs. San Diego Padres (50-43)
• Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
• Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: MLB Network, SDPA, and NBCS-PH

Phillies vs Padres Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PHI: (-162) | SD: (+136)
• Spread: PHI: -1.5 (-102) | SD: +1.5 (-118)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Phillies vs Padres Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Ranger Suarez (Phillies) - 7-2, 1.99 ERA vs Ryan Bergert (Padres) - 1-0, 2.67 ERA

The Phillies will give the ball to Ranger Suarez (7-2, 1.99 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 8 on the season, and the Padres will turn to Ryan Bergert (1-0, 2.67 ERA). Suarez and his team have a record of 8-3-0 against the spread when he starts. Suarez's team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-3). The Padres are 4-1-0 against the spread when Bergert starts. The Padres have a 3-1 record in Bergert's four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.

Phillies vs Padres Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (52.2%)

Phillies vs Padres Moneyline

• Philadelphia is a -162 favorite on the moneyline, while San Diego is a +136 underdog at home.

Phillies vs Padres Spread

• The Padres are +1.5 on the run line against the Phillies. The Padres are -118 to cover, and the Phillies are -102.

Phillies vs Padres Over/Under

• An over/under of 8 has been set for Phillies-Padres on July 11, with the over being -110 and the under -110.

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Phillies vs Padres Betting Trends

• The Phillies have won in 46, or 66.7%, of the 69 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• This season Philadelphia has been victorious 27 times in 34 chances when named as a favorite of at least -162 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of their 88 opportunities.
• The Phillies are 46-42-0 against the spread in their 88 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Padres have won 45.2% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (19-23).
• San Diego has a 4-6 record (winning 40% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +136 or longer.
• In the 92 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Padres, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 38 times (38-51-3).
• The Padres are 48-44-0 ATS this season.

Phillies Player Leaders

• Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia with 86 hits and an OBP of .383 this season. He has a .253 batting average and a slugging percentage of .553.
• He ranks 96th in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage, and seventh in slugging among qualified hitters in MLB.
• Schwarber has recorded a base hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .289 with three doubles, four home runs, five walks and 11 RBIs.
• Trea Turner leads Philadelphia in slugging percentage (.439) thanks to 31 extra-base hits. He's batting .294 with an on-base percentage of .344.
• Among qualifying hitters, his batting average places him 14th, his on-base percentage 56th, and his slugging percentage 70th.
• Nick Castellanos has collected 97 base hits, an OBP of .317 and a slugging percentage of .439 this season.
• Castellanos has recorded a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with an RBI.
• Alec Bohm has eight home runs, 42 RBI and a batting average of .282 this season.
• Bohm takes a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a home run, four walks and three RBIs.

Padres Player Leaders

• Manny Machado has put up a team-best slugging percentage (.487) and leads the Padres in hits (104). He's batting .291 and with an on-base percentage of .351.
• Including all the qualified players in the majors, his batting average ranks 16th, his on-base percentage is 44th, and he is 30th in slugging.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. paces his team with a .358 OBP. He has a batting average of .262 while slugging .450.
• Including all qualified hitters, his batting average places him 71st, his on-base percentage is 34th, and he is 63rd in slugging.
• Luis Arraez has 17 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 18 walks while batting .285.
• Gavin Sheets is hitting .269 with 14 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 27 walks.

Phillies vs Padres Head to Head

• 7/2/2025: 5-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 7/2/2025: 6-4 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 6/30/2025: 4-0 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -250, Underdog Moneyline: +205)
• 6/19/2024: 5-2 SD (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
• 6/18/2024: 4-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
• 6/17/2024: 9-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)
• 4/28/2024: 8-6 PHI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 4/27/2024: 5-1 PHI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 4/26/2024: 9-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 9/6/2023: 5-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)

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