Phillies vs Orioles Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Aug. 4

Odds updated as of 6:14 p.m.
In MLB action on Monday, the Philadelphia Phillies take on the Baltimore Orioles.
Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.
Phillies vs Orioles Game Info
- Philadelphia Phillies (63-48) vs. Baltimore Orioles (51-61)
- Date: Monday, August 4, 2025
- Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park -- Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Coverage: NBCS-PH and MASN
Phillies vs Orioles Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: PHI: (-205) | BAL: (+172)
- Spread: PHI: -1.5 (-102) | BAL: +1.5 (-118)
- Total: 9 -- Over: (-118) | Under: (-104)
Phillies vs Orioles Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Jesús Luzardo (Phillies) - 9-5, 4.31 ERA vs Cade Povich (Orioles) - 2-5, 5.15 ERA
The probable starters are Jesus Luzardo (9-5) for the Phillies and Cade Povich (2-5) for the Orioles. Luzardo's team is 9-12-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Luzardo's team has won 61.1% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (11-7). The Orioles have a 2-10-0 record against the spread in Povich's starts. The Orioles are 1-3 in Povich's four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
Phillies vs Orioles Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (70.6%)
Phillies vs Orioles Moneyline
- Philadelphia is the favorite, -205 on the moneyline, while Baltimore is a +172 underdog on the road.
Phillies vs Orioles Spread
- The Orioles are +1.5 on the run line against the Phillies. The Orioles are -118 to cover, and the Phillies are -102.
Phillies vs Orioles Over/Under
- A combined run total of 9 has been set for Phillies-Orioles on Aug. 4, with the over at -118 and the under at -104.
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Phillies vs Orioles Betting Trends
- The Phillies have come away with 54 wins in the 84 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
- This year Philadelphia has won 14 of 17 games when listed as at least -205 on the moneyline.
- The Phillies' games have gone over the total in 42 of their 104 opportunities.
- The Phillies are 52-52-0 against the spread in their 104 games that had a posted line this season.
- The Orioles have won 45.6% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (26-31).
- Baltimore has a record of 2-1 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +172 or longer (66.7%).
- The Orioles have combined with opponents to go over the total 48 times this season for a 48-58-4 record against the over/under.
- The Orioles have put together a 48-62-0 record against the spread this season.
Phillies Player Leaders
- Kyle Schwarber has 104 hits and an OBP of .379, both of which lead Philadelphia hitters this season. He has a .254 batting average and a slugging percentage of .578.
- He ranks 89th in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging among all qualified hitters in MLB.
- Trea Turner has hit 11 homers this season while driving in 45 runs. He's batting .283 this season and slugging .420 with an on-base percentage of .336.
- Among qualifying batters, he is 24th in batting average, 67th in on-base percentage and 85th in slugging percentage.
- Bryce Harper has 84 hits this season and has a slash line of .270/.376/.505.
- Harper enters this game with two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and two RBIs.
- Nick Castellanos has been key for Philadelphia with 112 hits, an OBP of .309 plus a slugging percentage of .436.
- Castellanos enters this matchup on a four-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .294 with a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
Orioles Player Leaders
- Gunnar Henderson has put up a team-best OBP (.356) and slugging percentage (.467), while pacing the Orioles in hits (113, while batting .285).
- Including all qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average puts him 20th, his on-base percentage is 38th, and he is 45th in slugging.
- Jackson Holliday is batting .258 with 15 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 24 walks. He's slugging .406 with an on-base percentage of .306.
- He is 79th in batting average, 122nd in on-base percentage and 98th in slugging percentage in the big leagues.
- Adley Rutschman has 15 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 33 walks while batting .233.
- Jordan Westburg has nine doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 12 walks while hitting .272.
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