Nuggets vs. Thunder Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 15

Nuggets vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Thursday, May 15, 2025
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
• Coverage: ESPN

The Oklahoma City Thunder take a 3-2 lead into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Thunder are favored by 4.5 points in the contest, which airs on ESPN at 8:30 p.m. ET. The matchup's point total is set at 217.5.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (52.2%)

Nuggets vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have gone 54-26-2 against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets are 38-43-1 this year.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 44 times this season.
• Nuggets games this season have eclipsed the over/under 49 times in 82 opportunities (59.8%).
• Oklahoma City has done a better job covering the spread in home games (29-12-1) than it has in road tilts (25-14-1).
• At home, the Thunder go over the over/under 59.5% of the time (25 of 42 games). They've hit the over in 47.5% of road games (19 of 40 contests).
• This season, Denver is 18-23-0 at home against the spread (.439 winning percentage). On the road, it is 20-20-1 ATS (.488).
• Nuggets games have gone above the over/under more often at home (26 times out of 41) than on the road (23 of 41) this season.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's numbers on the season are 32.7 points, 5 boards and 6.4 assists per game, shooting 51.9% from the field and 37.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.1 made 3-pointers.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.6 steals (seventh in league) and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game, shooting 58.1% from the floor.
• Aaron Wiggins averages 12 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists, shooting 48.8% from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 made treys per game.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 10.1 points, 1.6 assists and 4.1 rebounds.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 29.6 points, 12.7 boards and 10.2 assists. He is also draining 57.6% of his shots from the floor (ninth in league) and 41.7% from beyond the arc, with 2 triples per contest.
• The Nuggets get 21.4 points per game from Jamal Murray, plus 3.9 boards and 6 assists.
• The Nuggets receive 18.2 points per game from Michael Porter Jr., plus 7 rebounds and 2.1 assists.
• Christian Braun's numbers on the season are 15.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. He is sinking 58% of his shots from the field (eighth in league) and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.1 triples.
• Russell Westbrook's numbers on the season are 13.3 points, 4.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists per contest. He is making 44.9% of his shots from the floor and 32.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.3 treys.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, and Chandler Parsons Monday-Thursday at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/podcasts.