NHL Daily Fantasy Picks and Helper: Thursday 3/14/24

Nicholas Vazquez
Nicholas Vazquez@nickvaz
NHL Daily Fantasy Picks and Helper: Thursday 3/14/24

NHL DFS is similar to MLB in terms of how you build lineups, how you view stacking, and how to value players.

Two main points to always focus on in NHL DFS are what lines the players are on and making sure the goalies you are rostering are confirmed as the starters.

Two of the best resources for that are LeftWingLock.com and DailyFaceOff.com. That is where you can find updated forward and power-play lines for each team, along with which goalies are confirmed as the starters.

Using our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, let's take a look at today's slate to find a goalie, some stacks, and value plays for your NHL DFS lineups on FanDuel.


Goalie to Target

Tristan Jarry, Penguins ($7,700)

The Pittsburgh Penguins appear dead in the water after the trade deadline. They've lost their last four games, being outscored by a combined 17-2.

The good news is that the San Jose Sharks are coming to town tonight. San Jose has just one win in their last 10 games and averages the fewest expected goals (xG) per 60 minutes in the NHL.

Tristan Jarry ($7,700) has been a lone bright spot for the Penguins lately. He has saved +7.7 goals above expected this season, and he has saved 37 and 38 shots in his last two games. He's a huge bargain at this salary against arguably the worst team in the NHL.

Pittsburgh is a giant -300 moneyline favorite tonight, according to the NHL odds on FanDuel Sportsbook. That makes Jarry likely to get a win, and him allowing two goals or fewer is going to happen a large percentage of the time.


Minnesota Wild

The Minnesota Wild are holding on to slight playoff hopes and have won two games in a row after a rather quiet trade deadline.

They have a great chance of winning tonight, as they'll face the Anaheim Ducks at home. The Ducks just allowed seven goals to the Chicago Blackhawks -- the lowest-scoring team in the NHL.

There haven't been many players hotter than Kirill Kaprizov ($9,700) of late. He has seven goals in his last five games. He's playing with Matthew Boldy ($7,700), who has bounced back after a slow start and now has 24 goals.

Unfortunately, Joel Eriksson Ek will miss this game. It does make it easier to complete this stack, as Ryan Hartman ($5,300) has a much lower salary than JEE. Hartman has goals in each of his last two games and netted 34 goals in 2021-22 playing next to Kaprizov.

Minnesota's implied team total is up at 3.95 goals, and this stack is one of the best to capture that high total.

Pittsburgh Penguins

We like a goalie from the Penguins, and with the matchup the Pens have tonight, their top line makes a lot of sense, as well.

They look a bit different without Jake Guentzel on the team. They've added his replacement, Michael Bunting ($4,800), to play in his place on the first line and top power play. He'll skate with Sidney Crosby ($8,500) and Bryan Rust ($6,600) in both facets, and they have huge upside in tonight's game.

Crosby has slumped a bit lately, but his 32 goals this season are still tied for 17th in the league. Rust has been injured a lot this campaign, but 36 points in 44 games is a very solid output for him at this salary.

In November, the Penguins beat the Sharks by a score of 10-2. While we can't expect that level of output, Pittsburgh does have an implied team total of four goals tonight, the highest on the slate.

Value Skaters

Calle Jarnkrok, W, Maple Leafs ($3,800)

Calle Jarnkrok ($3,800) has taken over the role vacated by Mitchell Marner's absence, and he still has a very low salary.

Playing on the top line and top power play for the Toronto Maple Leafs gives Jarnkrok access to playing with Auston Matthews, the league's leading goal-scorer. If Jarnkrok picks up even just two assists with no other production, that is enough to pay off this salary.

Matty Beniers, C, Kraken ($4,500)

It's been a year of a sophomore slump for Matty Beniers ($4,500) after he was the Rookie of the Year last season.

Beniers has just 27 points in 59 games this season after posting 57 points in 80 games a year ago. He still has a good role on the Seattle Kraken, though, and scored a goal in his last game.

With Beniers playing on the top line and top power play, you won't find many centers for this low of a salary with that role -- especially with the talent of Beniers.

The Kraken will face the Washington Capitals tonight. Washington played last night and lost 7-2. Seattle has a chance to do well in this spot, and you can get some of their players in your lineup without using much salary.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.