Nebraska vs Troy College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 4 seed Nebraska Cornhuskers (26-6) and the No. 13 seed Troy Trojans (22-11) will meet in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday at 12:40 p.m. ET. The contest airs on truTV.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Nebraska vs. Troy Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 19, 2026
• Game time: 12:40 p.m. ET
• TV channel: truTV
• Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Arena: Paycom Center

Nebraska vs. Troy Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nebraska win (78.1%)

Before making a wager on Thursday's Nebraska-Troy spread (Nebraska -13.5) or total (137.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.

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Nebraska vs. Troy: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Nebraska is 17-15-0 ATS this season.
• Troy has put together a 17-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• When the spread is set as 13.5 or more this season, Nebraska (4-6) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (40%) than Troy (2-0) does as the underdog (100%).
• At home, the Cornhuskers own a worse record against the spread (8-10-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (7-3-0).
• Against the spread, the Trojans have performed better at home (7-4-0) than away (8-8-0).

Nebraska vs. Troy: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Nebraska has been victorious in 20, or 90.9%, of the 22 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Cornhuskers have not lost in six games this year when favored by -1449 or better on the moneyline.
• Troy is 5-3 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 62.5% of those games).
• The Trojans have played as a moneyline underdog of +810 or longer in only two games this season, which they split 1-1.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Nebraska has a 93.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Nebraska vs. Troy Head-to-Head Comparison

• Nebraska is outscoring opponents by 11.1 points per game with a +354 scoring differential overall. It puts up 77.3 points per game (141st in college basketball) and allows 66.2 per contest (21st in college basketball).
• Pryce Sandfort paces Nebraska, scoring 17.8 points per game (102nd in the country).
• Troy has a +237 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.2 points per game. It is putting up 80.3 points per game, 78th in college basketball, and is giving up 73.1 per contest to rank 153rd in college basketball.
• Thomas Dowd's team-leading 14.8 points per game rank him 318th in the country.
• The Cornhuskers are 138th in the nation at 32.6 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.6 their opponents average.
• Rienk Mast is 326th in college basketball play with 5.8 rebounds per game to lead the Cornhuskers.
• The Trojans rank 51st in the country at 34.8 rebounds per game. That's 3.8 more than the 31 their opponents average.
• Dowd is 14th in the country with 10.1 rebounds per game, leading the Trojans.
• Nebraska ranks 69th in college basketball by averaging 102.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 33rd in college basketball, allowing 87.7 points per 100 possessions.
• The Trojans put up 99.4 points per 100 possessions (131st in college basketball), while giving up 90.5 points per 100 possessions (60th in college basketball).

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