MLB

MLB Win Total Betting: How Many Games Will the Mariners Win in 2024?

Scott Edwards Jr.
Scott Edwards Jr.@ScottEdwardsJr
MLB Win Total Betting: How Many Games Will the Mariners Win in 2024?

The Seattle Mariners came up just short of making the playoffs last year with 88 wins. With their young core still intact, there's reason to believe they can make some noise this upcoming season.

What is the Seattle Mariners' win total set at for 2024, per the MLB win totals at FanDuel Sportsbook?

The Mariners' win total is listed at 87.5.

Let's dig into what we can expect from Seattle this year and which side of the win total should interest you.

All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published. nERD via numberFire. Projections via FanGraphs.

Seattle Mariners Win Total Odds

Seattle Mariners Over/Under 87.5 Wins

  • Over: -108
  • Under: -112

Why Mariners Could Win Over 87.5 Games (-108)

It can easily be forgotten, but the Seattle Mariners won 88 games last season, two fewer than the eventual World Series champion Texas Rangers. They were that close -- so there's reason to have excitement with this team once again.

Getting over 87.5 wins isn't going to be easy. It's a tall number, but it's one that they've now reached three straight seasons. That instantly gives confidence considering the strides their top players continue to make.

Starting off with the rotation, it's what carried the Mariners to their 88 wins. Seattle has created a big three to lead the way with Luis Castillo, Logan Gilbert, and George Kirby. All three starters ranked top-20 in SIERA, with Kirby placing 13th (3.71), Castillo placing 14th (3.74), and Gilbert coming in 17th (3.78). That's dominance at the top, and considering how young both Gilbert and Kirby are, the rotation has the potential to be even better.

Along with the rotation is the strong bullpen that featured lights-out closer Andres Munoz leading the way. They had one of the best bullpens with a 3.64 SIERA that ranked 1st, a 3.80 FIP that ranked 4th, and a 3.48 ERA that ranked 1st. Having a top bullpen with the rotation they have can be a combination that brings them to 88 or more wins.

The pitching is what carries this team, and while they have a lineup that's serviceable, their chances of hitting the over will come down to their staff.

Why Mariners Could Win Under 87.5 Games (-112)

The main reason the Mariners may not get the over is simple -- their division is top-heavy and loaded.

When one division has the two teams that made it to the American League Championship Series, it's tough. The Texas Rangers and Houston Astros are coming into this season as two of the top contenders in the American League once again.

Last season, the Rangers and Astros won 90 games apiece while the Mariners were at 88. Two of those teams made the playoffs, whereas the Mariners were looking up at both and spending their fall at home.

Things need to work out perfectly again to avoid the under, which may need to include them finishing ahead of the Rangers or Astros. If there's good news for Seattle within the division, it's that the Oakland Athletics and Los Angeles Angels are going to be at the bottom of the league again. They'll need to take advantage of those matchups.

Finally, the other deciding factor in what their season should look like will be the lineup -- which could be shaky if things go south.

Seattle added Jorge Polanco and Mitch Garver to their lineup while bringing back old friend Mitch Haniger after a season away. Garver had a very good season last year on the Rangers, which was the closest he's been to the 31-home run campaign that he had in 2019 with the Minnesota Twins. Seeing that he was added to hit in the middle of the lineup, he will need to show consistency, as he likely takes over as designated hitter for this club.

Polanco should be the "constant" in their lineup when talking about the additions, which is good. But that brings us to Haniger. Can he come close to his 39-homer season in 2021, or will it be more of the same from the last two years? He's missed 206 regular season games with injury over the last two seasons. He's a big part of their lineup if he can stay in it.

Ultimately, I like what the Mariners are bringing to the table this year. Julio Rodriguez should make another jump for them after finishing fourth in AL MVP voting last season. If the lineup around him can hang enough while the pitching does what they do, there's no reason to believe that this team can't, at the very least, win those 88 (or more) games that we're hoping for with this bet.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.