Missouri vs Oklahoma Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 5

SEC action features the No. 15 Missouri Tigers (21-8, 10-6 SEC) on the road against the Oklahoma Sooners (17-12, 4-12 SEC) on Wednesday, March 5, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Missouri vs. Oklahoma Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Wednesday, March 5, 2025
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: SEC Network+
- Location: Norman, Oklahoma
- Arena: Lloyd Noble Center
Missouri vs. Oklahoma Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Missouri win (54.2%)
Take a look at some betting insights for Missouri (-4.5) versus Oklahoma on Wednesday. The over/under has been set at 160.5 points for this game.
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Missouri vs. Oklahoma: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Missouri has put together a 17-11-0 record against the spread this season.
- Oklahoma is 14-15-0 ATS this season.
- As a 4.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Missouri is 8-7 against the spread compared to the 5-6 ATS record Oklahoma racks up as a 4.5-point underdog.
- The Tigers have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 11 times in 18 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered five times in nine opportunities in road games.
- In 2024-25 against the spread, the Sooners have a better winning percentage at home (.438, 7-9-0 record) than away (.375, 3-5-0).
- Missouri's record against the spread in conference action is 12-4-0.
- Against the spread in SEC games, Oklahoma is 7-9-0 this season.
Missouri vs. Oklahoma: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Missouri has been the moneyline favorite in 18 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (83.3%) in those contests.
- The Tigers have not lost in 12 games this year when favored by -194 or better on the moneyline.
- Oklahoma has won 35.7% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (5-9).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +160 or longer, the Sooners have a 1-8 record (winning just 11.1% of their games).
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Missouri has a 66% chance of walking away with the win.
Missouri vs. Oklahoma Head-to-Head Comparison
- Missouri's +372 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 12.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 84.6 points per game (seventh in college basketball) while giving up 71.8 per contest (180th in college basketball).
- Caleb Grill leads Missouri, recording 14.3 points per game (337th in the nation).
- Oklahoma puts up 78.1 points per game (76th in college basketball) while allowing 74.3 per contest (254th in college basketball). It has a +111 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 3.8 points per game.
- Jalon Moore leads Oklahoma, recording 16.6 points per game (140th in college basketball).
- The Tigers win the rebound battle by an average of 1.6 boards. They are pulling down 31.3 rebounds per game (216th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.7 per contest.
- Josh Gray averages 5.1 rebounds per game (ranking 580th in college basketball) to lead the Tigers.
- The Sooners pull down 29.4 rebounds per game (322nd in college basketball), compared to the 30.4 of their opponents.
- Moore averages 5.7 rebounds per game (394th in college basketball) to lead the Sooners.
- Missouri ranks eighth in college basketball with 107.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 123rd in college basketball defensively with 91.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.
- The Sooners put up 100.8 points per 100 possessions (67th in college basketball), while allowing 95.9 points per 100 possessions (255th in college basketball).
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