Miami (FL) vs Missouri College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 7 seed Miami Hurricanes (25-8) will look to defeat the No. 10 seed Missouri Tigers (20-12) in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday at Enterprise Center. This matchup tips off at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Miami (FL) vs. Missouri Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 20, 2026
• Game time: 10:10 p.m. ET
• TV channel: truTV
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Arena: Enterprise Center

Miami (FL) vs. Missouri Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Miami (FL) win (68.9%)

Here's a look at some betting trends for Miami (FL) (-1.5) versus Missouri on Friday. The over/under has been set at 145.5 points for this game.

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Miami (FL) vs. Missouri: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Miami (FL) is 18-15-0 ATS this season.
• Missouri has put together a 14-18-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Miami (FL) and Missouri cover the same percentage of spreads this season (50%) when the spread conditions of the game are equal to or greater than Friday's line (Hurricanes as favorites by 1.5 or more and Tigers as underdogs by 1.5 or more).
• Against the spread, the Hurricanes have performed worse at home, covering eight times in 18 home games, and eight times in 10 road games.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Tigers have a lower winning percentage at home (.444, 8-10-0 record) than away (.545, 6-5-0).

Miami (FL) vs. Missouri: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Miami (FL) has come away with 15 wins in the 18 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This season, the Hurricanes have come away with a win 15 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -120 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Missouri has won 46.2% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (6-7).
• The Tigers have a record of 5-5 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +100 or longer (50%).
• Miami (FL) has an implied victory probability of 54.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Miami (FL) vs. Missouri Head-to-Head Comparison

• Miami (FL) averages 81.9 points per game (52nd in college basketball) while giving up 71.2 per contest (103rd in college basketball). It has a +355 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 10.7 points per game.
• Miami (FL)'s leading scorer, Malik Reneau, ranks 65th in college basketball putting up 18.8 points per game.
• Missouri puts up 79.7 points per game (84th in college basketball) while giving up 75.3 per outing (222nd in college basketball). It has a +138 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 4.4 points per game.
• Mark Mitchell's 18.3 points per game leads Missouri and ranks 79th in the nation.
• The Hurricanes are 80th in college basketball at 33.9 rebounds per game. That's 6.9 more than the 27.0 their opponents average.
• Ernest Udeh Jr. is 23rd in college basketball play with 9.2 rebounds per game to lead the Hurricanes.
• The Tigers are 172nd in the nation at 32.1 rebounds per game. That's 3.4 more than the 28.7 their opponents average.
• Mitchell averages 5.3 rebounds per game (481st in college basketball) to lead the Tigers.
• Miami (FL) averages 105.2 points per 100 possessions (33rd in college basketball), while giving up 91.4 points per 100 possessions (77th in college basketball).
• The Tigers average 102.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (75th in college basketball), and concede 96.7 points per 100 possessions (220th in college basketball).

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