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Mets vs Marlins Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Aug. 28

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Mets vs Marlins Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Aug. 28

Odds updated as of 2:13 a.m.

On Thursday in MLB, the New York Mets are playing the Miami Marlins.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Mets vs Marlins Game Info

  • New York Mets (72-61) vs. Miami Marlins (62-71)
  • Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
  • Coverage: MLB Network, SNY, and FDSFL

Mets vs Marlins Odds & Moneyline

  • All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: NYM: (-250) | MIA: (+205)
  • Spread: NYM: -1.5 (-122) | MIA: +1.5 (+102)
  • Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)

Mets vs Marlins Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Clay Holmes (Mets) - 11-6, 3.60 ERA vs Adam Mazur (Marlins) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA

The Mets will give the ball to Clay Holmes (11-6, 3.60 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 12 on the season, and the Marlins will turn to Adam Mazur. Holmes' team is 11-12-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Holmes' team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (12-6). Mazur and his team were underdogs on the moneyline every time he pitched a season ago.

Mets vs Marlins Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (58.9%)

Mets vs Marlins Moneyline

  • Miami is the underdog, +205 on the moneyline, while New York is a -250 favorite at home.

Mets vs Marlins Spread

  • The Mets are 1.5-run home favorites on the runline against the Marlins. The Mets are -122 to cover, and the Marlins are +102.

Mets vs Marlins Over/Under

  • An over/under of 8.5 has been set for Mets-Marlins on Aug. 28, with the over being -122 and the under -100.

Bet on New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins on FanDuel today!

Mets vs Marlins Betting Trends

  • The Mets have been chosen as favorites in 88 games this year and have walked away with the win 53 times (60.2%) in those games.
  • This season New York has been victorious 12 times in 13 chances when named as a favorite of at least -250 on the moneyline.
  • The Mets and their opponents have gone over in 57 of their 126 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Mets are 61-65-0 against the spread in their 126 games that had a posted line this season.
  • The Marlins have won 50 of the 107 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (46.7%).
  • In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +205 or longer, Miami has a 4-6 record (winning 40% of its games).
  • The Marlins have had an over/under set by bookmakers 129 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 62 of those games (62-67-0).
  • The Marlins have put together a 75-54-0 record against the spread this season.

Mets Player Leaders

  • Juan Soto leads New York with an OBP of .389 this season while batting .251 with 107 walks and 96 runs scored. He has a slugging percentage of .490.
  • Among the qualified batters in the majors, his batting average ranks 95th, his on-base percentage ranks fifth, and he is 25th in slugging.
  • Soto has recorded a base hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with seven walks and three RBIs.
  • Francisco Lindor has an OPS of .790, fueled by an OBP of .334 and a team-best slugging percentage of .456 this season. He's batting .265.
  • Among qualified hitters, his batting average ranks him 59th, his on-base percentage 68th, and his slugging percentage 55th.
  • Lindor heads into this matchup looking to extend his two-game hit streak. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with two walks and an RBI.
  • Pete Alonso leads New York with 134 hits. He is batting .265 this season and 63 of his hits have gone for extra bases.
  • Alonso takes a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 20 home runs, 71 RBI and a batting average of .258 this season.
  • Nimmo has safely hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .357 with a walk and three RBIs.

Marlins Player Leaders

  • Xavier Edwards has put up a team-high .363 slugging percentage. He's batting .288 with an on-base percentage of .345.
  • Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, his batting average ranks 17th, his on-base percentage is 50th, and he is 144th in slugging.
  • Otto Lopez has 17 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .237. He's slugging .353 with an on-base percentage of .307.
  • He is currently 122nd in batting average, 119th in on-base percentage and 146th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
  • Agustin Ramirez is batting .228 with 27 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Eric Wagaman has 21 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 29 walks while batting .232.

Mets vs Marlins Head to Head

  • 4/9/2025: 5-0 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -205, Underdog Moneyline: +172)
  • 4/8/2025: 10-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -290, Underdog Moneyline: +235)
  • 4/7/2025: 2-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -275, Underdog Moneyline: +225)
  • 4/2/2025: 6-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -210, Underdog Moneyline: +176)
  • 4/1/2025: 4-2 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
  • 3/31/2025: 10-4 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -180, Underdog Moneyline: +152)
  • 8/18/2024: 3-2 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
  • 8/17/2024: 4-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)
  • 8/16/2024: 7-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -255, Underdog Moneyline: +210)
  • 7/22/2024: 6-4 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)

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