Memphis vs Wichita State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for AAC Tournament

The top-seeded Memphis Tigers (26-5, 16-2 AAC) are squaring off against the No. 8 seed Wichita State Shockers (19-13, 8-10 AAC) in the AAC tournament on Friday at Dickies Arena, at 1 p.m. ET airing on ESPN2.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Memphis vs. Wichita State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Fort Worth, Texas
• Arena: Dickies Arena

Memphis vs. Wichita State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Memphis win (75.9%)

See the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Friday's Memphis-Wichita State spread (Memphis -9.5) or over/under (146.5 points).

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Memphis vs. Wichita State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Memphis has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 16 times.
• Wichita State has covered 16 times in 31 matchups with a spread this season.
• Memphis covers the spread when it is a 9.5-point favorite or more 18.2% of the time. That's less often than Wichita State covers as an underdog of 9.5 or more (100%).
• In home games, the Tigers have a worse record against the spread (6-9-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (6-6-0).
• The Shockers' winning percentage against the spread at home is .375 (6-10-0). Away, it is .636 (7-4-0).
• Memphis has seven wins against the spread in 18 conference games this year.
• Wichita State has covered the spread 10 times in 19 AAC games.

Memphis vs. Wichita State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Memphis has won in 21, or 87.5%, of the 24 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Tigers have a mark of 10-1 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -465 or better on the moneyline.
• Wichita State has won five of the 11 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (45.5%).
• The Shockers have played as a moneyline underdog of +350 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
• Memphis has an implied victory probability of 82.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Memphis vs. Wichita State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Memphis outscores opponents by 7.1 points per game (scoring 80 per game to rank 41st in college basketball while allowing 72.9 per contest to rank 209th in college basketball) and has a +219 scoring differential overall.
• PJ Haggerty's 21.2 points per game lead Memphis and are sixth in college basketball.
• Wichita State is outscoring opponents by 1.4 points per game, with a +44 scoring differential overall. It puts up 73.7 points per game (187th in college basketball) and allows 72.3 per outing (198th in college basketball).
• Wichita State's leading scorer, Xavier Bell, is 284th in the nation, putting up 14.8 points per game.
• The Tigers pull down 33.8 rebounds per game (73rd in college basketball) while conceding 30.7 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.1 boards per game.
• Dain Dainja's seven rebounds per game lead the Tigers and rank 171st in college basketball play.
• The 35 rebounds per game the Shockers accumulate rank 39th in the country, 4.3 more than the 30.7 their opponents collect.
• Quincy Ballard is 35th in the country with nine rebounds per game, leading the Shockers.
• Memphis ranks 103rd in college basketball by averaging 98.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 87th in college basketball, allowing 89.8 points per 100 possessions.
• The Shockers score 93.6 points per 100 possessions (241st in college basketball), while allowing 91.9 points per 100 possessions (138th in college basketball).

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