Lakers vs. Thunder Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 9

Lakers vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena -- Los Angeles, California
• Coverage: ABC

The Los Angeles Lakers are 8.5-point underdogs heading into Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The Thunder are up 2-0 in the series. The matchup has an over/under of 211.5 points.

Lakers vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Lakers vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (56.4%)

Lakers vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have registered a 39-42-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Lakers have 45 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• This season, Thunder games have hit the over 45 times.
• The Lakers have eclipsed the over/under 52.4% of the time this season (43 of 82 games with a set point total).
• Oklahoma City has done a better job covering the spread in road games (20-19-1) than it has at home (19-23-0).
• The Thunder have exceeded the total in 22 of 42 home games (52.4%). They've done better in away games, going over the total in 23 of 40 matchups (57.5%).
• Against the spread, Los Angeles has been better at home (24-16-1) than on the road (21-20-0).
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Lakers' games have finished above the over/under at home (56.1%, 23 of 41) than on the road (48.8%, 20 of 41).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.1 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.6 assists.
• Chet Holmgren averages 17.1 points, 8.9 rebounds and 1.7 assists.
• Cason Wallace averages 8.6 points, 3.1 boards and 2.6 assists, shooting 43.2% from the field and 35.1% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Ajay Mitchell is averaging 13.6 points, 3.3 boards and 3.6 assists.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 9.2 points, 9.4 boards and 3.5 assists per game, shooting 62.2% from the field.

Lakers Leaders

• LeBron James' numbers on the season are 20.9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 7.2 assists per contest. He is also draining 51.5% of his shots from the floor and 31.7% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.3 triples.
• The Lakers receive 23.3 points per game from Austin Reaves, plus 4.7 boards and 5.5 assists.
• Deandre Ayton averages 12.5 points, 8 rebounds and 0.8 assists. He is making 67.1% of his shots from the floor (second in NBA).
• Jake LaRavia averages 8.2 points, 4 rebounds and 1.8 assists. He is sinking 45.9% of his shots from the floor and 32.1% from beyond the arc, with 1 triples per game.
• Per game, Rui Hachimura gives the Lakers 11.5 points, 3.3 rebounds and 0.8 assists, plus 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocks.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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