Horse Racing

Just A Touch: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction

FanDuel Staff
FanDuel Staff
Just A Touch: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction

The 150th Kentucky Derby is nearly here, and the field of 20 three-year-old horses is set.

Just A Touch finished in the top 10 in qualifying points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby with 75 points.

Just A Touch Kentucky Derby Odds and Post Position

Just A Touch's Kentucky Derby morning line odds are 10-1 (+1000), tied for fourth-best in the field.

Just A Touch drew post position 8.

ML Odds
1DornochDanny GarganLuis Saez20-1
2Sierra LeoneChad BrownTyler Gaffalione3-1
3Mystik DanKenny McPeekBrian Hernandez20-1
4Catching FreedomBrad CoxFlavien Prat8-1
5CatalyticSaffie Joseph, Jr.Jose Ortiz30-1
6Just SteelD. Wayne LukasKeith Asmussen20-1
7Honor MarieWhit BeckmanBen Curtis20-1
View Full Table

Just A Touch Horse Trainer and Jockey

Trainer Brad Cox also has Catching Freedom (8-1) in the field for this year's Kentucky Derby and is looking to add a second Kentucky Derby win (Mandaloun after disqualification in 2021). Further, Essential Quality finished third in 2021 and won the Belmont Stakes; Angel of Empire was third at last year's Derby.

Jockey Florent Geroux rode Mandaloun to the delayed 2021 Derby victory and Gun Runner to a third in 2016. Geroux has ridden Just A Touch in all three of his career starts.

Just A Touch Race History

Just A Touch has only three races and one win -- but two outputs over 100 in terms of Speed Score.

Speed Scores via Equibase.

Speed Score
4/6/2024KeenelandToyota Blue Grass Stakes (Gr. 1)2105
3/2/2024AqueductGotham Stakes (Gr. 3)295
1/27/2024Fair GroundsMaiden Special Weight1100

Just A Touch Kentucky Derby Prediction and Pick

Just A Touch finished runner-up in two prep races despite good Speed Score outputs.

An average Speed Score of 100.0 is tops in the field among 18 qualified horses, and a 105 max Speed Score ranks sixth in that sample.

The jockey and trainer combo is a proven one, and the potential is there for Just A Touch.

Post position 8 has a 9.7% win rate since 1930, the 4th-highest rate of any post in that span. There's also been a 20.4% in-the-money rate: 8th-highest.

Watch FanDuel TV's Kyle Levy analyze Just A Touch below:

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