Iowa State vs Cincinnati Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament

The No. 5 seed Iowa State Cyclones (23-8, 13-7 Big 12) square off against the No. 13 seed Cincinnati Bearcats (18-14, 7-13 Big 12) in the Big 12 tournament Wednesday at T-Mobile Center, tipping off at 12:30 p.m. ET. Both teams will attempt to get one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Iowa State vs. Cincinnati Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• Arena: T-Mobile Center

Iowa State vs. Cincinnati Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Iowa State win (72.5%)

Here's a look at some betting trends for Iowa State (-9.5) versus Cincinnati on Wednesday. The total is set at 135.5 points for this game.

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Iowa State vs. Cincinnati: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Iowa State has put together an 18-13-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Cincinnati has covered 16 times in 32 matchups with a spread this season.
• As a 9.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Cincinnati is 2-0 against the spread compared to the 8-10 ATS record Iowa State racks up as a 9.5-point favorite.
• The Cyclones have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered nine times in 17 games when playing at home, and they've covered seven times in 11 games when playing on the road.
• This season, the Bearcats are 7-10-0 at home against the spread (.412 winning percentage). On the road, they are 7-6-0 ATS (.538).
• Iowa State is 13-8-0 against the spread in conference play this season.
• Cincinnati has beaten the spread 10 times in 21 Big 12 games.

Iowa State vs. Cincinnati: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Iowa State has come away with 17 wins in the 21 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Cyclones have a win-loss record of 10-3 when favored by -429 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• Cincinnati has won 12.5% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (1-7).
• The Bearcats have played as a moneyline underdog of +330 or longer in just two games this season, which they lost both.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Iowa State has a 81.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Iowa State vs. Cincinnati Head-to-Head Comparison

• Iowa State is outscoring opponents by 12.6 points per game with a +390 scoring differential overall. It puts up 80.1 points per game (40th in college basketball) and allows 67.5 per contest (54th in college basketball).
• Iowa State's leading scorer, Curtis Jones, is 109th in the nation averaging 17 points per game.
• Cincinnati is outscoring opponents by 5.6 points per game, with a +179 scoring differential overall. It puts up 71 points per game (264th in college basketball) and gives up 65.4 per contest (25th in college basketball).
• Jizzle James' 12.7 points per game paces Cincinnati and ranks 577th in the country.
• The 32.7 rebounds per game the Cyclones average rank 142nd in the nation, and are 4.1 more than the 28.6 their opponents record per contest.
• Joshua Jefferson's 7.5 rebounds per game lead the Cyclones and rank 108th in college basketball action.
• The Bearcats record 32 rebounds per game (183rd in college basketball) while conceding 29.6 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.4 boards per game.
• Dillon Mitchell tops the team with 6.7 rebounds per game (208th in college basketball).
• Iowa State's 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 52nd in college basketball, and the 85.7 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 20th in college basketball.
• The Bearcats rank 215th in college basketball with 94.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 35th defensively with 87.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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