Houston vs Baylor Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 8

The Houston Cougars (26-4, 18-1 Big 12) will try to continue a nine-game win streak when they visit the Baylor Bears (18-12, 10-9 Big 12) on March 8, 2025 at Foster Pavilion.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Houston vs. Baylor Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Saturday, March 8, 2025
- Game time: 10 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Waco, Texas
- Arena: Foster Pavilion
Houston vs. Baylor Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Houston win (60.4%)
See the betting trends and insights below before placing a bet on Saturday's Houston-Baylor spread (Houston -4.5) or total (130.5 points).
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Houston vs. Baylor: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Houston has won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
- Baylor has covered 10 times in 29 chances against the spread this season.
- Houston covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 51.9% of the time. That's more often than Baylor covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (never covered this season).
- The Cougars sport a worse record against the spread at home (10-7-0) than they do in away games (7-2-0).
- The Bears have performed better against the spread at home (7-7-0) than away (2-9-0) this season.
- Houston has beaten the spread 12 times in 19 conference games.
- Baylor's Big 12 record against the spread is 6-13-0.
Houston vs. Baylor: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Houston has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 29 games this year and has walked away with the win 25 times (86.2%) in those games.
- The Cougars have a mark of 22-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -182 or better on the moneyline.
- Baylor has yet to win a game it played as the moneyline underdog this season, going 0-0.
- The Bears have played six times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +150 or longer, and lost each game.
- Houston has an implied victory probability of 64.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Houston vs. Baylor Head-to-Head Comparison
- Houston averages 74.5 points per game (157th in college basketball) while giving up 58 per contest (first in college basketball). It has a +494 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 16.5 points per game.
- LJ Cryer's 15 points per game lead Houston and are 263rd in college basketball.
- Baylor outscores opponents by 7.8 points per game (posting 77.3 points per game, 91st in college basketball, and conceding 69.5 per outing, 99th in college basketball) and has a +233 scoring differential.
- Norchad Omier's team-leading 15.7 points per game rank him 209th in the nation.
- The Cougars rank 138th in the nation at 32.7 rebounds per game. That's 6.6 more than the 26.1 their opponents average.
- J'wan Roberts' 6.3 rebounds per game lead the Cougars and rank 263rd in college basketball action.
- The Bears are 118th in the country at 33 rebounds per game. That's 3.2 more than the 29.8 their opponents average.
- Omier is 10th in college basketball with 10.5 rebounds per game, leading the Bears.
- Houston averages 102.8 points per 100 possessions (35th in college basketball), while allowing 80.1 points per 100 possessions (first in college basketball).
- The Bears' 99.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 83rd in college basketball, and the 89.8 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 91st in college basketball.
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