Heat vs. Spurs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 23

Heat vs. Spurs Game Info

• Date: Monday, March 23, 2026
• Time: 7 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: Peacock and FDSSW

The Miami Heat (38-33) are 4.5-point underdogs as they attempt to break a four-game losing streak when they host the San Antonio Spurs (53-18) on Monday, March 23, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on Peacock and FDSSW. The matchup's over/under is set at 244.5.

Heat vs. Spurs Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Heat vs. Spurs Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Heat win (53.3%)

Heat vs. Spurs Betting Trends

• The Spurs have covered the spread 36 times over 70 games with a set spread.
• The Heat have played 71 games, with 42 wins against the spread.
• This season, 31 of the Spurs' games have gone over the point total.
• The Heat have gone over the point total 56.3% of the time this season (40 of 71 games with a set point total).
• San Antonio sports a worse record against the spread at home (16-15-3) than it does on the road (20-15-1).
• At home, the Spurs go over the over/under 45.7% of the time (16 of 35 games). They've hit the over in 41.7% of road games (15 of 36 contests).
• This year, Miami is 21-15-0 at home against the spread (.583 winning percentage). On the road, it is 21-13-1 ATS (.600).
• Heat games have gone above the over/under less often at home (20 times out of 36) than on the road (20 of 35) this year.

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama averages 24.3 points, 11.1 boards and 3 assists.
• De'Aaron Fox is averaging 19 points, 6.3 assists and 3.8 rebounds.
• Stephon Castle averages 16.4 points, 5 boards and 7.1 assists.
• Julian Champagnie is averaging 11.2 points, 1.5 assists and 5.7 rebounds.
• Keldon Johnson's numbers on the season are 12.8 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 53.3% from the floor and 37.8% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.2 made 3-pointers.

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo's numbers on the season are 20.4 points, 9.9 boards and 2.9 assists per contest. He is also draining 44.7% of his shots from the field and 32.6% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.7 triples.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s numbers on the season are 15 points, 5.1 boards and 4.8 assists per game. He is draining 50% of his shots from the field.
• The Heat get 11.1 points per game from Kel'el Ware, plus 9.3 boards and 0.6 assists.
• The Heat are receiving 15.9 points, 5.1 boards and 2.8 assists per game from Andrew Wiggins.
• Per game, Norman Powell gives the Heat 22.3 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists, plus 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocks.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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