Heat vs. Spurs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 23

Heat vs. Spurs Game Info

• Date: Monday, March 23, 2026
• Time: 7 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: Peacock and FDSSW

The San Antonio Spurs (53-18) are favored (by 5.5 points) to extend a three-game road winning streak when they visit the Miami Heat (38-33) on Monday, March 23, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 240.5 points.

Heat vs. Spurs Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Heat vs. Spurs Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Heat win (53.6%)

Heat vs. Spurs Betting Trends

• The Spurs have compiled a 36-30-4 record against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Heat are 42-28-1 this season.
• Spurs games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 31 times this season.
• The Heat have gone over the point total 56.3% of the time this season (40 of 71 games with a set point total).
• Against the spread, San Antonio has played worse at home, covering 16 times in 35 home games, and 20 times in 36 road games.
• The Spurs have hit the over on the total in 16 of 35 home games (45.7%), compared to 15 of 36 road games (41.7%).
• Miami's winning percentage against the spread at home is .583 (21-15-0). On the road, it is .600 (21-13-1).
• Heat games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (20 times out of 36) than away (20 of 35) this season.

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama's numbers on the season are 24.3 points, 11.1 boards and 3 assists per game, shooting 50.4% from the field and 35.6% from downtown, with an average of 2 made treys.
• De'Aaron Fox averages 19 points, 3.8 rebounds and 6.3 assists.
• Stephon Castle averages 16.4 points, 5 boards and 7.1 assists, shooting 46.4% from the floor and 31.4% from downtown, with 1.1 made treys per contest.
• Julian Champagnie is averaging 11.2 points, 5.7 boards and 1.5 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Keldon Johnson averages 12.8 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.3 assists, shooting 53.3% from the floor and 37.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest.

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo averages 20.4 points for the Heat, plus 9.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s numbers on the season are 15 points, 5.1 boards and 4.8 assists per game. He is draining 50% of his shots from the floor.
• The Heat are getting 11.1 points, 9.3 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game from Kel'el Ware.
• Per game, Andrew Wiggins gives the Heat 15.9 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.8 assists, plus 1.1 steals and 1 block.
• The Heat get 22.3 points per game from Norman Powell, plus 3.6 boards and 2.6 assists.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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