Heat vs. Cavaliers NBA Playoffs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for April 28

Heat vs. Cavaliers Game Info

• Date: Monday, April 28, 2025
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage:

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 9-point favorites for a decisive Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat at Kaseya Center on Monday, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on Miami Heat. The Cavaliers hold a 3-0 lead in the series. The matchup has an over/under set at 211 points.

Heat vs. Cavaliers Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Heat vs. Cavaliers Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Cavaliers win (61.5%)

Heat vs. Cavaliers Betting Trends

• The Cavaliers have put together a record of 47-33-2 against the spread this season.
• In the Heat's 82 games this season, they have 38 wins against the spread.
• Cavaliers games have gone over the total 50 times this season.
• Heat games this season have hit the over 53.7% of the time (44 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• Cleveland has done a better job covering the spread in away games (24-16-1) than it has at home (23-17-1).
• The Cavaliers have exceeded the total in 25 of 41 home games (61%). They've fared the same in away games, eclipsing the total in 25 of 41 matchups (61%).
• Miami has performed better against the spread at home (21-19-1) than on the road (17-22-2) this season.
• In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Heat's games have finished above the over/under at home (61%, 25 of 41) than away (46.3%, 19 of 41).

Cavaliers Leaders

• Donovan Mitchell's numbers on the season are 24 points, 4.5 boards and 5 assists per game, shooting 44.3% from the field and 36.8% from downtown, with an average of 3.3 made treys (eighth in league).
• Evan Mobley is averaging 18.5 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.2 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 1.6 blocked shots (fourth in NBA).
• Darius Garland is averaging 20.6 points, 2.9 rebounds and 6.7 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Jarrett Allen is averaging 13.5 points, 9.7 boards and 1.9 assists.
• De'Andre Hunter's numbers on the season are 17 points, 4 boards and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 47% from the field and 40.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.5 made 3-pointers.

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo averages 18.1 points, 9.6 boards and 4.3 assists. He is also draining 48.5% of his shots from the floor and 35.7% from 3-point range, with 1 trey per contest.
• The Heat get 23.9 points per game from Tyler Herro, plus 5.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists.
• Andrew Wiggins' numbers on the season are 18 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. He is draining 44.8% of his shots from the floor and 37.4% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.2 treys.
• The Heat are getting 9.3 points, 7.4 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game from Kel'el Ware.
• Davion Mitchell averages 7.9 points, 2.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists. He is sinking 46.8% of his shots from the field and 39.8% from 3-point range, with 1.1 treys per game.

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