Grizzlies vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 5

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, March 5, 2025
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: FedExForum -- Memphis, Tennessee
• Coverage: ESPN, FDSSE, and FDSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder (50-11) are 8-point favorites as they try to build on a four-game winning streak when they visit the Memphis Grizzlies (38-23) on Wednesday, March 5, 2025 at FedExForum. The contest airs at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, FDSSE, and FDSOK. The over/under in the matchup is set at 251.5.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Grizzlies win (53.8%)

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have compiled a 37-23-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Grizzlies have played 61 games, with 35 wins against the spread.
• Thunder games have gone over the total 34 times this season.
• Grizzlies games this year have gone over the total in 39 of 61 opportunities (63.9%).
• Against the spread, Oklahoma City has fared better at home, covering 20 times in 31 home games, and 17 times in 30 road games.
• The Thunder have eclipsed the total more often when playing at home, hitting the over in 19 of 31 home matchups (61.3%). In away games, they have hit the over in 15 of 30 games (50%).
• Against the spread, Memphis has had better results away (18-10-2) than at home (17-13-1).
• Grizzlies games have finished above the over/under less often at home (17 times out of 31) than away (22 of 30) this year.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.6 points, 6.2 assists and 5.2 rebounds.
• Jalen Williams' numbers on the season are 21.4 points, 5.5 boards and 5.2 assists per game, shooting 47.9% from the field and 36.4% from downtown, with an average of 1.8 made 3-pointers.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 10.9 points, 11.2 rebounds and 4.1 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.
• Aaron Wiggins' numbers on the season are 11.4 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 49.9% from the field and 39.7% from downtown, with an average of 1.7 made treys.
• Luguentz Dort's numbers on the season are 9.8 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 42.6% from the field and 39.6% from downtown, with an average of 2.2 made treys.

Grizzlies Leaders

• Desmond Bane averages 18.6 points for the Grizzlies, plus 6 rebounds and 5.5 assists.
• Santi Aldama averages 12.8 points, 6.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He is also draining 48.7% of his shots from the floor and 37.6% from 3-point range, with 1.8 triples per game.
• Ja Morant averages 20.9 points, 4.1 rebounds and 7.4 assists. He is making 43.3% of his shots from the floor and 28.7% from 3-point range, with 1.5 treys per game.
• Per game, Scotty Pippen Jr. gives the Grizzlies 9 points, 3.2 boards and 4.2 assists, plus 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• The Grizzlies are receiving 11.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Jaylen Wells.

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