Florida vs Iowa College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Second Round

The No. 1 seed Florida Gators (27-7) aim to advance to the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament when they face the No. 9 seed Iowa Hawkeyes (22-12) on Sunday at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Iowa Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 22, 2026
• Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TBS
• Location: Tampa, Florida
• Arena: Benchmark International Arena

Florida vs. Iowa Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (70.6%)

Florida is a 10.5-point favorite against Iowa on Sunday and the total is set at 145.5 points. Below are some betting insights and trends if you are planning on making a wager on the game.

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Florida vs. Iowa: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida has covered 20 times in 34 matchups with a spread this season.
• Iowa has won 19 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 15 times.
• As a 10.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Iowa is 2-0 against the spread compared to the 8-11 ATS record Florida puts up as a 10.5-point favorite.
• In home games, the Gators own a worse record against the spread (7-8-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (9-1-0).
• This year, the Hawkeyes are 10-7-0 at home against the spread (.588 winning percentage). On the road, they are 5-6-0 ATS (.455).

Florida vs. Iowa: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida has won in 23, or 82.1%, of the 28 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Gators have a mark of 15-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -450 or better on the moneyline.
• Iowa has been the moneyline underdog 10 total times this season. Iowa has finished 1-9 in those games.
• The Hawkeyes have played as a moneyline underdog of +340 or longer in just two games this season, which they lost both.
• Florida has an implied victory probability of 81.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Florida vs. Iowa Head-to-Head Comparison

• Florida has a +547 scoring differential, topping opponents by 16.1 points per game. It is putting up 87.6 points per game to rank eighth in college basketball and is allowing 71.5 per outing to rank 111th in college basketball.
• Thomas Haugh's 17 points per game lead Florida and rank 153rd in the country.
• Iowa has a +311 scoring differential, topping opponents by 9.2 points per game. It is putting up 75 points per game, 201st in college basketball, and is giving up 65.8 per contest to rank 15th in college basketball.
• Bennett Stirtz leads Iowa, putting up 19.9 points per game (33rd in college basketball).
• The Gators are first in the country at 42.3 rebounds per game. That's 15.6 more than the 26.7 their opponents average.
• Rueben Chinyelu's 11.6 rebounds per game lead the Gators and rank second in college basketball play.
• The Hawkeyes are 353rd in the nation at 27.1 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 26.1 their opponents average.
• Tavion Banks' 4.7 rebounds per game lead the Hawkeyes and rank 730th in college basketball.
• Florida ranks 30th in college basketball with 105.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 11th in college basketball defensively with 86.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Hawkeyes' 107.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 16th in college basketball, and the 94.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 150th in college basketball.

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