NBA

FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Wednesday 3/13/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Wednesday 3/13/24

Since NBA DFS is easier to predict than baseball or football, it would likely get plenty of votes as the best sport to play on FanDuel. Basketball players usually stick to the same minutes and produce at roughly the same rate. Sounds easy, right? Trust me -- it's not!

As a result, NBA daily fantasy is highly reliant on a player's opportunity, so you'll need to ensure that you're up to date with key injuries. Our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- update throughout the day to reflect current news. You can also turn to numberFire for player news updates as well as a matchup heat map and lineup optimizer to help give you an edge.

On top of all that, here at FanDuel Research, we'll come at you each day with this NBA DFS primer, which breaks down some of the day's top plays at each position.

Let's dive into today's main slate on FanDuel.

Betting lines via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Projections and betting odds may change after this article is published.

NBA DFS Picks

Wednesday's main slate on FanDuel features seven games but some dramatically different game environments.

For a full breakdown, see numberFire's matchup heat map.

Top matchups:

Other games:

Guards

Top Plays

Luka Doncic ($12,800) -- Luka Doncic and Nikola Jokic are the only players with five-figure salaries tonight, but the former is my stud of choice tonight. Luka has managed to provide plenty of value despite a near-$13K tag, averaging 67.6 FanDuel points per game (FPPG) since the All-Star break. Dallas has the slate's highest implied total (120) against a Golden State defense that's given up the ninth-most FPPG to opposing PGs, per FantasyPros. Luka's in a good spot to produce.

Immanuel Quickley ($8,300) -- Immanuel Quickley is questionable tonight after missing Monday's game, but he's set up for an enhanced role if active. Scottie Barnes and Jakob Poeltl remain out, but RJ Barrett is also inactive tonight. With those three off the floor, Quickley has posted a 28% usage rate and averaged 39.4 FPs per 36 minutes, according to RotoGrinders Court IQ. A matchup with Detroit could have him reaching for more -- the Pistons have given up the second-most FPPG to PGs, and they're 28th in defensive rating.

Jordan Goodwin ($5,300) -- Jordan Goodwin's 10-day contract status leaves his availability up in the air, but he'd be a strong value if active tonight. Goodwin is fresh off his best fantasy performance of the season (36.9 FPs), and he's now exceeded 30 FPs in all four games he's seen 30 minutes. Facing Charlotte's 27th-rated defense gives Jordan Goodwin upside despite Memphis' 101 implied total.

Others to Consider

Cade Cunningham ($8,600) -- Cade Cunningham snapped a two-game streak of 30-point double-doubles, but he still managed 42.2 FPs in Monday's matchup with Charlotte. Another soft defense awaits him tonight, as the Raptors have sunk to 28th in defensive rating and given up the ninth-most FPPG to PGs over the last 15 games.

Gary Trent Jr. ($5,700) -- Like Quickley, Gary Trent Jr. is questionable but could see a spike in usage with Toronto missing several key players. Trent had been trending up before missing Monday's game, exceeding 30 FPs in three of his last four games. As of Wednesday afternoon, numberFire projects Trent for 31 FPs tonight, making him the top point-per-dollar value among guards (5.43 FPs per $1,000).

Wings

Top Plays

DeMar DeRozan ($8,400) -- DeMar DeRozan came crashing down to earth after averaging 46.5 FPPG over a five-game span, but he's a quality bounce-back candidate tonight. Though DeMar failed to hit 40 FPs in two prior matchups with Indiana, the Pacers have been a top-10 fantasy matchup for SFs all year. A 229 over/under rivals any game on the slate, so DeRozan is set up well in a pace-up spot. His points prop is set at 23.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Jonathan Kuminga ($7,300) -- Jonathan Kuminga has been a steady producer of late, totaling at least 32 FPs in eight of 11 games since the All-Star break. He's flashed 40-FP upside with several high-scoring outbursts, so we can confidently deploy him with Stephen Curry out. In five games without Steph, Kuminga has registered a 29% usage rate.

Bruce Brown ($5,100) -- Bruce Brown Jr. popped for 27.5 FPs on Monday, notching a double-double in his return from a four-game absence. With RJ Barrett sidelined, another near-40-minute outing could be in the works. That would bode well for his fantasy prospects, especially considering the matchup with Detroit. The Pistons have given up the sixth-most FPPG to SFs this season, so Brown is certainly a fine salary-saver. Just be wary of rostering too many Raptors when they only have a 114.5 implied total.

Others to Consider

Jimmy Butler ($8,800) -- Jimmy Butler is the highest-salaried SF on the slate, and he's worth a look in a Finals rematch with Denver. Though Jimmy was held to 36.9 FPs in this same matchup two weeks back, he's due for a better outing at home where he's averaging more points, rebounds, and assists per game. Butler's flashed big-time fantasy upside since the All-Star break, exceeding 50 FPs in three of eight games. He's an excellent game stack for Jokic-based lineups.

Andrew Wiggins ($5,100) -- Andrew Wiggins has been held under 25 FPs in all four games since returning from his personal absence, but his minutes and real-world points have gradually ticked up in all four games. That culminated in a 30-minute, 16-point effort against San Antonio on Monday, so we can consider him a value at either forward spot tonight. Dallas has done well against forwards of late, but they've still allowed the sixth-most FPPG to PFs on the year.

Bigs

Top Plays

Nikola Vucevic ($8,200) -- Nikola Vucevic struggled in a (seemingly) good matchup with Dallas on Monday, finishing with just 23.2 FPs. That marked the fifth time in six games Vuc failed to total 40 FPs, but he's in a nice spot to bounce back tonight. A pace-up spot with Indiana's 21st-rated defense lends itself to a 229 over/under, and Vucevic already cooked the Pacers for 50.9 FPs earlier this season. numberFire projects Vucevic for 42.1 FPs, making him the third-best point-per-dollar value among centers (5.14 FPs per $1,000).

Kelly Olynyk ($6,800) -- Kelly Olynyk has thrived with Jakob Poeltl out of the lineup, averaging 15.5 actual and 34.4 FanDuel points per game. He's flashed 40-FP upside twice in his last four games and should benefit from an advantageous matchup with Detroit. The Pistons have given up the third-most FPPG to opposing centers and have allowed the sixth-most points in the paint this season. He's a quality mid-range option at either big spot.

Isaiah Stewert ($5,200) -- The fantasy production hasn't been there for Isaiah Stewart of late, but he continues to play over 30 minutes per game. He's only gone over 25 FPs in two of seven games since returning from injury, but tonight's matchup with Toronto could be the breakout we've been waiting for. The Raptors have given up the fourth-most FPPG to PFs and Cs over the last 15 games, and they're 28th in rebound rate since the All-Star break. Stewert's rebounds prop is set at 7.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Others to Consider

Nikola Jokic ($12,300) -- So, Nikola Jokic went for 95.4 FPs in Monday's win over the Raptors -- his best fantasy performance of all time. That's saying something for a player of his caliber, and it makes him well worth considering even in a tough matchup with Miami. The Heat have been the second-stingiest fantasy defense for opposing centers, and this game only has a 216.0 over/under. I'd rather allocate salary elsewhere, but the upside is always there with the Joker.

Myles Turner ($6,800) -- If you're searching for a mid-range center tonight, Myles Turner is worth a look. Turner is coming off a monster 47.6-FP effort against OKC and now draws a familiar matchup with his division rivals, the Chicago Bulls. Turner notched 20 real-world points in both prior matchups with the Bulls this season, and he's blocked multiple shots in seven of nine meetings between them over the last three seasons.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.