Arkansas State vs Marshall Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Sun Belt Tournament

The No. 4 seed Arkansas State Red Wolves (22-9, 13-5 Sun Belt) take on the No. 5 seed Marshall Thundering Herd (20-12, 12-6 Sun Belt) in the Sun Belt tournament Saturday at Pensacola Bay Center, beginning at 6:30 p.m. ET. Both teams will attempt to get one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Arkansas State vs. Marshall Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 8, 2025
• Game time: 6:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Pensacola, Florida
• Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

Arkansas State vs. Marshall Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arkansas State win (72.8%)

Before you bet on Saturday's Arkansas State-Marshall spread (Arkansas State -8.5) or total (149.5 points), check out the betting insights and trends below.

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Arkansas State vs. Marshall: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Arkansas State has compiled an 18-12-0 record against the spread this season.
• Marshall has won 17 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 13 times.
• As an 8.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Arkansas State is 11-5 against the spread compared to the 1-1 ATS record Marshall racks up as an 8.5-point underdog.
• The Red Wolves have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered eight times in 14 games at home, and they've covered 10 times in 13 games on the road.
• Against the spread, the Thundering Herd have performed better at home (11-4-0) than on the road (6-8-0).
• Arkansas State's record against the spread in conference play is 13-5-0.
• Marshall's Sun Belt record against the spread is 12-7-0.

Arkansas State vs. Marshall: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Arkansas State has been victorious in 18, or 75%, of the 24 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Red Wolves have a win-loss record of 14-2 when favored by -375 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• Marshall has been the underdog on the moneyline 10 total times this season. Marshall has finished 2-8 in those games.
• The Thundering Herd have played as a moneyline underdog of +290 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Arkansas State has a 78.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Arkansas State vs. Marshall Head-to-Head Comparison

• Arkansas State outscores opponents by 10.2 points per game (scoring 79.4 per game to rank 55th in college basketball while giving up 69.2 per contest to rank 95th in college basketball) and has a +314 scoring differential overall.
• Arkansas State's leading scorer, Taryn Todd, is 263rd in college basketball putting up 15 points per game.
• Marshall puts up 75.8 points per game (123rd in college basketball) while giving up 71.5 per contest (169th in college basketball). It has a +136 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 4.3 points per game.
• Obinna Anochili-Killen leads Marshall, putting up 14 points per game (380th in college basketball).
• The 38.3 rebounds per game the Red Wolves average rank fourth in the country, and are 4.4 more than the 33.9 their opponents collect per contest.
• Izaiyah Nelson is 42nd in college basketball play with 8.6 rebounds per game to lead the Red Wolves.
• The Thundering Herd prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 3.1 boards. They are pulling down 33.4 rebounds per game (92nd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.3.
• Nate Martin leads the team with 8.3 rebounds per game (51st in college basketball).
• Arkansas State averages 97.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (139th in college basketball), and gives up 84.9 points per 100 possessions (16th in college basketball).
• The Thundering Herd rank 162nd in college basketball with 96.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 121st defensively with 91 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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