Arizona vs Arkansas College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

A Sweet 16 battle will feature the No. 1 seed Arizona Wildcats (34-2) and the No. 4 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (28-8) playing on Thursday at SAP Center at San Jose. The NCAA Tournament contest starts at 9:45 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Arizona vs. Arkansas Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Thursday, March 26, 2026
- Game time: 9:45 p.m. ET
- TV channel: CBS
- Location: San Jose, California
- Arena: SAP Center at San Jose
Arizona vs. Arkansas Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arizona win (72.6%)
Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before making a wager on Thursday's Arizona-Arkansas spread (Arizona -8.5) or over/under (165.5 points).
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Arizona vs. Arkansas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Arizona has put together a 22-14-0 record against the spread this season.
- Arkansas has won 23 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
- Arizona (13-11) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 8.5 points or more this season (54.2%) than Arkansas (1-1) does as an 8.5+-point underdog (50%).
- The Wildcats have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (9-8-0) than they have in road affairs (5-5-0).
- The Razorbacks have been better against the spread at home (12-5-0) than on the road (6-4-0) this season.
Arizona vs. Arkansas: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Arizona has come away with 24 wins in the 26 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
- This year, the Wildcats have won 16 of 17 games when listed as at least -375 or better on the moneyline.
- Arkansas has won 36.4% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (4-7).
- The Razorbacks have played as a moneyline underdog of +290 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
- Arizona has an implied victory probability of 78.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Arizona vs. Arkansas Head-to-Head Comparison
- Arizona outscores opponents by 17.7 points per game (scoring 86.1 per game to rank 12th in college basketball while giving up 68.4 per outing to rank 42nd in college basketball) and has a +636 scoring differential overall.
- Brayden Burries' 16 points per game lead Arizona and rank 220th in the nation.
- Arkansas is outscoring opponents by 10 points per game, with a +360 scoring differential overall. It puts up 90.3 points per game (second in college basketball) and gives up 80.3 per contest (335th in college basketball).
- Darius Acuff Jr. is ranked fourth in college basketball with a team-leading 23.3 points per game.
- The Wildcats win the rebound battle by 12.4 boards on average. They collect 40.2 rebounds per game, which ranks second in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 27.8 per contest.
- Tobe Awaka's 9.3 rebounds per game lead the Wildcats and rank 21st in college basketball play.
- The Razorbacks win the rebound battle by 1.3 boards on average. They collect 32.8 rebounds per game, 123rd in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 31.5.
- Trevon Brazile averages 7.4 rebounds per game (111th in college basketball) to lead the Razorbacks.
- Arizona averages 105.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (29th in college basketball), and allows 83.9 points per 100 possessions (sixth in college basketball).
- The Razorbacks' 109.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank sixth in college basketball, and the 97 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 227th in college basketball.
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