American vs Mount St. Mary's Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Four

The American Eagles (22-12) and the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (22-12) will play on Wednesday with a spot in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament up for grabs. This First Four matchup starts at 6:40 p.m. ET, on truTV.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
American vs. Mount St. Mary's Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Wednesday, March 19, 2025
- Game time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- TV channel: truTV
- Location: Dayton, Ohio
- Arena: UD Arena
American vs. Mount St. Mary's Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: American win (52.4%)
Before placing a bet on Wednesday's American-Mount St. Mary's spread (American -2.5) or over/under (129.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.
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American vs. Mount St. Mary's: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- American is 17-14-0 ATS this season.
- Mount St. Mary's has put together a 22-11-0 ATS record so far this season.
- When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, American (5-8) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (38.5%) than Mount St. Mary's (11-4) does as the underdog (73.3%).
- The Eagles have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (8-6-0) than they have in road games (7-8-0).
- The Mountaineers' winning percentage against the spread at home is .615 (8-5-0). On the road, it is .647 (11-6-0).
American vs. Mount St. Mary's: Moneyline Betting Stats
- American has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 15 games this year and has walked away with the win 11 times (73.3%) in those games.
- The Eagles have a win-loss record of 9-2 when favored by -148 or better by bookmakers this year.
- Mount St. Mary's has won 61.1% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (11-7).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +126 or longer, the Mountaineers have an 8-7 record (winning 53.3% of their games).
- American has an implied victory probability of 59.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
American vs. Mount St. Mary's Head-to-Head Comparison
- American averages 68.6 points per game (310th in college basketball) while allowing 67.3 per contest (50th in college basketball). It has a +47 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 1.3 points per game.
- Matt Rogers' team-leading 17 points per game ranks 113th in the nation.
- Mount St. Mary's puts up 70.4 points per game (269th in college basketball) while allowing 69.8 per contest (109th in college basketball). It has a +19 scoring differential.
- Dola Adebayo's 13.2 points per game paces Mount St. Mary's and ranks 495th in the nation.
- The 28.2 rebounds per game the Eagles average rank 339th in college basketball, and are two fewer than the 30.2 their opponents pull down per outing.
- Lincoln Ball tops the team with 5.8 rebounds per game (363rd in college basketball play).
- The Mountaineers come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of four boards. They are collecting 34.4 rebounds per game (55th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.4.
- Jedy Cordilia leads the Mountaineers with 7.3 rebounds per game (129th in college basketball).
- American ranks 163rd in college basketball with 96.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 205th in college basketball defensively with 94.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
- The Mountaineers rank 306th in college basketball averaging 90.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 83rd, allowing 89.9 points per 100 possessions.
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