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Alabama vs Hofstra College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

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Alabama vs Hofstra College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (23-9) face off against the No. 13 Hofstra Pride (24-10) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday, beginning at 3:15 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Alabama vs. Hofstra Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Friday, March 20, 2026
  • Game time: 3:15 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: truTV
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Arena: Benchmark International Arena

Alabama vs. Hofstra Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Alabama win (67.4%)

Before you wager on Friday's Alabama-Hofstra spread (Alabama -11.5) or total (159.5 points), check out the betting insights and trends below.

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Alabama vs. Hofstra: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Alabama is 14-18-0 ATS this season.
  • Hofstra has covered 20 times in 32 matchups with a spread this season.
  • Alabama (5-6) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 11.5 points or more this season (45.5%) than Hofstra (1-0) does as an 11.5+-point underdog (100%).
  • The Crimson Tide have done a better job covering the spread in away games (5-5-0) than they have at home (6-9-0).
  • In 2025-26 against the spread, the Pride have a better winning percentage at home (.600, 6-4-0 record) than on the road (.588, 10-7-0).

Alabama vs. Hofstra: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Alabama has been the moneyline favorite in 22 games this season and has come away with the win 17 times (77.3%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Crimson Tide have been victorious seven times in nine chances when named as a favorite of at least -800 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Hofstra has been the underdog on the moneyline nine total times this season. Hofstra has gone 4-5 in those games.
  • The Pride have yet to play as a moneyline underdog of +540 or longer.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Alabama has a 88.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Alabama vs. Hofstra Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Alabama averages 91.7 points per game (first in college basketball) while giving up 83.5 per outing (356th in college basketball). It has a +264 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 8.2 points per game.
  • Alabama's leading scorer, Labaron Philon, ranks 12th in the country scoring 21.7 points per game.
  • Hofstra outscores opponents by 9.5 points per game (posting 75.6 points per game, 180th in college basketball, and giving up 66.1 per outing, 19th in college basketball) and has a +325 scoring differential.
  • Cruz Davis' 20.2 points per game leads Hofstra and ranks 30th in college basketball.
  • The Crimson Tide are 13th in the country at 36.9 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 36.2 their opponents average.
  • Amari Allen leads the team with 7.1 rebounds per game (146th in college basketball play).
  • The 35.3 rebounds per game the Pride accumulate rank 34th in college basketball, 5.7 more than the 29.6 their opponents grab.
  • Silas Sunday's 6.9 rebounds per game lead the Pride and rank 169th in the country.
  • Alabama puts up 106.5 points per 100 possessions (20th in college basketball), while giving up 96.9 points per 100 possessions (226th in college basketball).
  • The Pride record 99.9 points per 100 possessions (120th in college basketball), while allowing 87.3 points per 100 possessions (30th in college basketball).

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