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3 MLB FanDuel Value Plays for Tuesday 5/14/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD

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3 MLB FanDuel Value Plays for Tuesday 5/14/24

Finding low-salary production is one way to get a leg up on the competition in MLB DFS.

Here are some value plays to target on FanDuel for today's main slate.

Advanced statistics courtesy of FanGraphs. Betting lines via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Betting odds as well as our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- may change after this article is published.

MLB DFS Value Plays

Gavin Stone, P, Dodgers ($7,900)

Gavin Stone may not have the nastiest stuff in the league, but it's hard to argue with the results right now.

Over his last three starts, Stone has notched 40, 34, and 34 FanDuel points. He's now recorded a quality start in four of his last five outings, dropping his season-long ERA to 3.55.

Granted, that's supported by a less-than-ideal 4.58 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA), but his quality of contact numbers are sound. Stone has only surrendered 5.9% barrel and 31.4% hard-hit rates this season, and that's led to opponents registering a .297 weighted on-base average (wOBA) against him.

While the 25-year-old doesn't boast a high strikeout rate (17.1%), he at least benefits from pitching behind a Los Angeles Dodgers offense that's propelled him to three wins in seven starts.

The Dodgers are -164 moneyline favorites against the San Francisco Giants tonight, so Stone's in another good spot to potentially record a win tonight.

It doesn't hurt that the Giants are just 22nd in wOBA (.299) and 23rd in ISO (.131) against right-handed pitching. And the game is at Oracle Park -- the fourth-worst venue for hitters, per Statcast Park Factors.

While Gavin Stone may not have slate-winning upside, he's proven more than capable of outperforming his DFS salary in the right matchups. A road date with San Fran is just what the doctor ordered, and his deployment in lineups can be helpful in loading up on high-salaried bats.

Brice Turang, 2B/SS, Brewers ($3,100)

The Milwaukee Brewers are one of the top stacks for today's main slate, but I'm interested in Brice Turang even as a one-off.

The left-handed Turang has moved up to the lead-off spot and hasn't disappointed. For the season, Turang is batting .294 with a .343 wOBA. He's averaging 10.7 FanDuel points per game and currently ranks third with 16 stolen bases.

In six games atop the order, Turang has six hits and three runs. He has -270 odds to record a hit and -145 odds to record a run on FanDuel Sportsbook.

He's in a nice spot to remain productive with the Pittsburgh Pirates starting righty Quinn Priester tonight. While his 3.86 ERA is solid on paper, the second-year junkballer has a 4.51 SIERA and 6.85 FIP.

Yikes.

Priester only sports a 12.6% K rate, and he's gotten lucky with a .232 BABIP. Opposing hitters have generated 9.3 barrel and 49.3% hard-hit rates against the righty, so a blow-up could be brewing against Milwaukee.

Turang has only hit eight homers in his career, but they've all come against righties. His wOBA is up to .349 against right-handed pitchers this season, and he's running a respectable .787 OPS in that split.

Atop of one of the slate's top offenses, Brice Turang is an intriguing value at either middle infield spot.

Jeimer Candelario, 1B/3B, Reds ($2,600)

Slade Cecconi will start for the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight, so I'll happily target Jeimer Candelario at a discounted salary.

Candelario had a rough first month for the Cincinnati Reds, but he's upped his wOBA to .329 and cut his strikeout rate to 15.8% in May.

He's also increased his flyball rate to 48.4% this month -- an encouraging trend with Cecconi on the bump tonight.

The D-backs' righty has pitched to a 4.15 ERA and 4.39 SIERA this season. He's done a good job limiting hard contact, but his fly ball rate has jumped to 57.9%. While a 20.2% strikeout rate isn't bad, Cecconi's .164 BABIP is primed to regress.

Enter, Jeimer Candelario. The corner infielder hasn't been great against righties in 2024 but still boasts a .174 ISO and 46.4% fly ball rate in that split. He's coming off a 2023 season that saw him post a .347 wOBA and .813 OPS against right-handed pitchers.

Last season, 16 of his 22 home runs came against righties. This season, three of his four have. Tonight, Candelario boasts +630 odds to hit a home run -- something to keep in mind on Dinger Tuesday.

Even if he doesn't yabo, Candelario can still help us in DFS. He's cracked double-digit FanDuel points in four of his last six games, and we project him for 11.1 FanDuel points tonight. At salary, he's the third-best point-per-dollar value at 1B and the top value at 3B (4.28 FanDuel points per $1,000).


Dinger Tuesday is back! Place a pre-live, straight "To Hit a Home Run" wager on any MLB game happening May 14th. You’ll get Bonus Bets for each home run BOTH TEAMS hit in the game! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Looking to build some MLB DFS lineups? Check out FanDuel’s daily fantasy baseball lobby to see all the offerings for today’s slates.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!


The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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