3 MLB FanDuel Value Plays for Friday 5/10/24

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3 MLB FanDuel Value Plays for Friday 5/10/24

Finding low-salary production is one way to get a leg up on the competition in MLB DFS.

Here are some value plays to target on FanDuel for today's main slate.

Advanced statistics courtesy of FanGraphs. Betting lines via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Betting odds as well as our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- may change after this article is published.

MLB DFS Value Plays

Bryan Woo, P, Mariners ($8,000)

Welcome back Bryan Woo!

The 24-year-old righty will make his season debut tonight against the Oakland Athletics after missing the first seven weeks.

Woo was the Seattle Mariners' third-ranked prospect last season before an earlier-than-expected call-up. He impressed across 87 2/3 innings, compiling a 4.21 ERA and 25.1% strikeout (K) rate. His 4.13 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) was solid but not spectacular, but Woo only surrendered a 33.3% hard-hit rate and finished with a 1.21 WHIP.

The hard-throwing righty was especially effective against right-handed hitters, limiting them to a .221 wOBA with a 30.4% K rate and 2.85 xFIP.

The A's do have several lefties in their lineup -- though they haven't been great against right-handed pitching. In that split, Oakland ranks 15th in wOBA (.307) and 11th in wRC+ (102) but also fourth in K rate (25.7%). Consequently, Woo's strikeout prop is set at 5.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook.

While Oakland hasn't been a total pushover, they aren't a lineup I'm afraid to roster value arms against... especially ones who have flashed as much potential as Woo. It was encouraging to see him look sharp in rehab, allowing no runs or walks while striking out 17 across 11 1/3 innings.

It helps that tonight's action is at T-Mobile Park -- the single-worst venue for hitters, per Statcast Park Factors.

Our model views Woo in a positive light, too. We project him for 31.0 FanDuel points, making him the fourth-best point-per-dollar value among pitchers (3.88 FanDuel points per $1,000). That, coupled with last year's numbers and the matchup, makes Bryan Woo my top value arm for Friday's main slate.

If starting someone fresh off IL isn't your style, I'm not opposed to Jon Gray ($7,300) against the Colorado Rockies. Granted, this game is at Coors Field, but the Rockies are only 13th in home wOBA and still rank third in K rate against righties (27.6%). Gray, meanwhile, has averaged 34.7 FanDuel points per game over his last six starts. He has a 3.48 SIERA and 25.5% K rate on the season.

Ezequiel Duran, SS/OF/3B/1B, Rangers ($2,800)

The Texas Rangers have the slate's highest implied total (5.34) in their Coors date with the Rockies, so we can certainly turn to the league's third highest-scoring lineup for some value. They're one of today's top stacks, after all.

With lefty Austin Gomber on the bump for Colorado, I'll happy deploy utility man Ezequiel Duran. Duran is only averaging 4.5 FanDuel points per game on the year, but he's fresh off a stellar doubleheader on Wednesday that saw him go 4-for-7 with a pair of runs, an RBI, and 24.9 FanDuel points across two games.

Duran has strong lefty splits, posting a .335 wOBA and .727 OPS against southpaws compared to a .238 wOBA and .523 OPS against righties.

He registered a .354 wOBA and .837 OPS against lefties in 2023, so there's room to grow in a plus matchup, too.

That plus matchup could be Austin Gomber at Coors Field. The 30-year-old has managed a 3.79 ERA thus far but a 4.82 SIERA and 4.61 xFIP don't bode well for him going forward. Gomber isn't striking anyone out (15.7% K rate) and is surrendering high barrel rate (9.9%). A .254 BABIP has kept him from a true blow-up so far, but he's still surrendered multiple runs in five of seven starts.

Gomber is also giving up 1.66 HR/9, a concerning mark when Statcast's top venue for hitters is your home park.

Duran hasn't homered yet this season but did blast 14 last season. He has +630 odds to hit a home run on FanDuel Sportsbook.

With eligibility at four different positions, it's easy to find a spot for Duran in your lineup. He's a strong glue guy that can help you slot in high-salary bats, especially given his 12.8-FanDuel point projection. That makes him the second-best point-per-dollar value at both 1B and 3B, the third-best at SS, and the fifth-best at OF (4.57 FanDuel points per $1,000).

Connor Wong, C, Red Sox ($2,700)

Connor Wong is another guy who has a low salary and favorable splits against a shaky lefty. Furthermore, Wong's Boston Red Sox have the slate's second-highest implied total (4.91).

Wong and the Sox are up against the Washington Nationals, specifically Patrick Corbin. Corbin has pitched to a 6.45 ERA with a measly 14.4% K rate through seven starts. His .377 BABIP won't stay that high forever, but Corbin's 4.83 SIERA and 4.41 xFIP don't suggest that much positive regression is coming.

Corbin gives up a high hard-hit rate (45.5%), too. Coupled with his 8.6% walk rate, the 34-year-old is running a truly abysmal 1.81 WHIP.

Not great Bob!

Well, unless you're Connor Wong.

Then, that's fantastic.

Wong has had a strong season overall and is currently averaging 9.7 FanDuel points per game. He's been rock-solid against lefties, posting a .395 wOBA and .894 OPS.

Boston moved Wong up to second in the order against a lefty on Wednesday, and he responded with a pair of hits. Assuming he's still in the two-hole, don't be shocked if his run production ticks up with Tyler O'Neill and Rafael Devers behind him. Wong has -125 odds to record a run on FanDuel Sportsbook.

We project Wong for 14.1 FanDuel points, fifth-most among any hitter and good for the top point-per-dollar value on the slate (5.24 FanDuel points per $1,000).

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.