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3 Best MLB Strikeout Prop Bets for Wednesday 7/23/25

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3 Best MLB Strikeout Prop Bets for Wednesday 7/23/25

Within a given MLB slate, there are tons of strikeout props to sort through as there are lines posted for most of the day's starting pitchers.

Across today's action, which MLB player props seem to present the best value in FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB betting odds?

We're going to dig into that today, laying out my favorite strikeout props across all the action. You can also do some research of your own by digging into our MLB player prop projections.

Please note lines and MLB projections are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

Today's Best MLB K Prop Picks

Jesus Luzardo Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-116)

Moneyline

Run Line

Total Runs

Jul 23 11:06pm UTCMore odds in Sportsbook

Even with some rocky results recently, Jesus Luzardo is racking up strikeouts. I want in on his over tonight.

Luzardo let up four runs last time out, two starts after he let up five across just two innings. It has pushed his full-season ERA up to 4.29.

But in that last start, he still got to seven strikeouts, his fourth time reaching that mark in five starts. He has now gone over this number in half of his outings.

That's not enough to justify laying -116, but his matchup is good. The Boston Red Sox's active roster has a 24.7% strikeout rate against lefties and doesn't draw a ton of walks. That should allow Luzardo to stack Ks at an efficient clip.

This is a big number for sure, but Luzardo has a 27.5% strikeout rate for the season and goes over 100 pitches relatively often. I think we should be willing to bite on the over.

Slade Cecconi Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+112)

Moneyline

Run Line

Total Runs

Jul 23 10:41pm UTCMore odds in Sportsbook

The larger the sample, the stickier Slade Cecconi's increased strikeout rate seems. I like his over as a result.

We're up to 11 starts on Cecconi this year. His strikeout rate is 21.9%, up from 18.7% in his time with the Arizona Diamondbacks. His swinging-strike rate is also up 1.3 percentage points, and both of those numbers tend to stabilize quickly. He seems to have revamped his entire off-speed arsenal, so this shift is accompanied with some changes to his approach.

Tonight, Cecconi is at home against the Baltimore Orioles. They sport below-average plate-discipline numbers against righties, boosting Cecconi's K prop appeal even if the Orioles' sticks overall have started to come to life.

The Cleveland Guardians are letting Cecconi cook as he pitched into the ninth inning last time out, and he has gone seven innings in two other starts. There are enough factors pointing to buying into Cecconi that I think we can feel semi-comfortable taking the plus money on the over.

Max Fried Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120)

Moneyline

Run Line

Total Runs

Jul 23 11:08pm UTCMore odds in Sportsbook

With how filthy Max Fried is, I'm not in love with betting against him. His matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays is just as tough as they come.

Across 828 plate appearances, the Jays' active roster has just a 16.7% strikeout rate against lefties. That's the lowest mark in the league by nearly a full percentage point. They're actually even better against righties, so I don't view this as the product of a small sample.

They've also been able to avoid strikeouts against Fried, specifically. In his two starts against them, he has a combined five strikeouts. He needs to equal that number to hit the over tonight.

Even with a healthy baseline on Fried, I still have his strikeout projection at 3.96 tonight. He can mop up and still not generate tons of whiffs, which makes me feel better as it doesn't necessarily mean I'm betting on a poor performance from an elite arm.


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Which strikeout props stand out to you today? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB betting odds to see the full menu of options.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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