Yankees vs Twins Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 1:12 p.m.

The MLB slate on Saturday includes the New York Yankees facing the Minnesota Twins.

We've got you covered, in terms of the most important information about this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Yankees vs Twins Game Info

• New York Yankees (49-38) vs. Minnesota Twins (42-47)
• Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
• Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Venue: Yankee Stadium -- The Bronx, New York
• Coverage: YES and Twins.TV

Yankees vs Twins Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYY: (-148) | MIN: (+126)
• Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+130) | MIN: +1.5 (-156)
• Total: 10 -- Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)

Yankees vs Twins Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Brendan Beck (Yankees) - 0-0, 6.00 ERA vs Zebby Matthews (Twins) - 4-5, 4.15 ERA

The probable starters are Brendan Beck for the Yankees and Zebby Matthews (4-5) for the Twins. Beck did not pitch as the moneyline favorite in any games last season. The Twins have a 5-4-0 record against the spread in Matthews' starts. The Twins have a 2-3 record in Matthews' five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.

Yankees vs Twins Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (56.8%)

Yankees vs Twins Moneyline

• New York is the favorite, -148 on the moneyline, while Minnesota is a +126 underdog on the road.

Yankees vs Twins Spread

• The Twins are at +1.5 on the runline against the Yankees. The Twins are -156 to cover the spread, and the Yankees are +130.

Yankees vs Twins Over/Under

• An over/under of 10 has been set for Yankees-Twins on July 4, with the over being -112 and the under -108.

Bet on New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins on FanDuel today!

Yankees vs Twins Betting Trends

• The Yankees have been victorious in 43, or 58.1%, of the 74 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This year New York has won 24 of 38 games when listed as at least -148 on the moneyline.
• The Yankees and their opponents have gone over in 38 of their 84 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 84 games with a line this season, the Yankees have a mark of 39-45-0 against the spread.
• The Twins have won 25 of the 56 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (44.6%).
• Minnesota is 10-11 (winning 47.6% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +126 or longer.
• The Twins have played in 87 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 54 times (54-31-2).
• The Twins have covered 54% of their games this season, going 47-40-0 against the spread.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Ben Rice leads New York with 82 hits and an OBP of .362, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .569. He's batting .270.
• Among all qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 47th, his on-base percentage ranks 31st, and he is fourth in slugging.
• Rice hopes to build on a three-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .167 with two home runs, three walks and three RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .252 with 16 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 50 walks, while slugging .429 with an on-base percentage of .351.
• Among all qualifying players, he ranks 82nd in batting average, 46th in on-base percentage and 73rd in slugging percentage.
• Trent Grisham is batting .238 with a .423 slugging percentage and 37 RBI this year.
• Grisham enters this matchup with eight games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .385 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, four walks and six RBIs.
• Jazz Chisholm has been key for New York with 65 hits, an OBP of .303 plus a slugging percentage of .396.

Twins Player Leaders

• Byron Buxton has 81 hits with a .573 slugging percentage, both team-best statistics for the Twins. He's batting .268 and with an on-base percentage of .325.
• He is 55th in batting average, 84th in on-base percentage and second in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters in the big leagues.
• Brooks Lee is batting .248 with 12 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 23 walks. He's slugging .434 with an on-base percentage of .303.
• He is 90th in batting average, 128th in on-base percentage and 70th in slugging percentage in the big leagues.
• Josh Bell has 17 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .241.
• Kody Clemens has 17 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 19 walks while hitting .244.

Yankees vs Twins Head to Head

• 7/3/2026: 5-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -220, Underdog Moneyline: +184)
• 9/17/2025: 10-5 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 9/16/2025: 10-9 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -168, Underdog Moneyline: +142)
• 9/15/2025: 7-0 MIN (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -205, Underdog Moneyline: +172)
• 8/12/2025: 9-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -215, Underdog Moneyline: +180)
• 8/11/2025: 6-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -168, Underdog Moneyline: +142)
• 6/6/2024: 8-5 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 6/5/2024: 9-5 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -180, Underdog Moneyline: +152)
• 6/4/2024: 5-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -180, Underdog Moneyline: +152)
• 5/16/2024: 5-0 NYY (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)

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