Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 21

Odds updated as of 6:12 p.m.

The MLB's Monday slate includes the New York Yankees facing the Toronto Blue Jays.

All the info you need to make smart wagers on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Game Info

• New York Yankees (55-44) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (58-41)
• Date: Monday, July 21, 2025
• Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
• Venue: Rogers Centre -- Toronto, Ontario
• Coverage: SNET and YES

Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYY: (-120) | TOR: (+102)
• Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+140) | TOR: +1.5 (-170)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Yankees vs Blue Jays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Carlos Rodon (Yankees) - 10-6, 3.08 ERA vs Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays) - 6-7, 4.19 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Yankees will send Carlos Rodon (10-6) to the mound, while Kevin Gausman (6-7) will take the ball for the Blue Jays. Rodon and his team are 6-14-0 ATS this season when he starts. Rodon's team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-10). The Blue Jays have a 9-10-0 record against the spread in Gausman's starts. The Blue Jays are 7-4 in Gausman's 11 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (52.5%)

Yankees vs Blue Jays Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Blue Jays-Yankees, Toronto is the underdog at +102, and New York is -120 playing on the road.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Spread

• The Blue Jays are +1.5 on the spread (-170 to cover), and New York is +140 to cover the runline.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under

• The over/under for Yankees-Blue Jays on July 21 is 8.5. The over is -115, and the under is -105.

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Yankees vs Blue Jays Betting Trends

• The Yankees have won in 50, or 58.8%, of the 85 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• New York has a record of 47-35 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -120 or more on the moneyline.
• The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 43 of their 98 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 98 games with a line this season, the Yankees have a mark of 45-53-0 against the spread.
• The Blue Jays have gone 30-24 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 55.6% of those games).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, Toronto has gone 23-14 (62.2%).
• In the 98 games bookmakers have set an over/under for the Blue Jays, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 52 times (52-43-3).
• The Blue Jays are 59-39-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Aaron Judge has 128 hits and an OBP of .458 to go with a slugging percentage of .725. All three of those stats lead New York hitters this season. He has a .352 batting average, as well.
• Among qualifying hitters in baseball, his batting average ranks first, his on-base percentage ranks first, and he is first in slugging.
• Judge hopes to build on a three-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .316 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and three RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger has 18 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 29 walks. He's batting .280 and slugging .492 with an on-base percentage of .332.
• Among qualifying hitters, his batting average ranks him 35th, his on-base percentage 73rd, and his slugging percentage 24th.
• Paul Goldschmidt has collected 99 base hits, an OBP of .348 and a slugging percentage of .433 this season.
• Goldschmidt has recorded at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with three doubles, a walk and three RBIs.
• Trent Grisham has 17 home runs, 38 RBI and a batting average of .255 this season.
• Grisham has safely hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with a double, a home run, four walks and five RBIs.

Blue Jays Player Leaders

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. a has .385 on-base percentage to lead the Blue Jays. He's batting .278 while slugging .439.
• He is 43rd in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage and 68th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in the big leagues.
• George Springer's 87 hits pace his team. He has a batting average of .279 while slugging .503 with an on-base percentage of .369.
• Including all qualified players, he is 39th in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage and 21st in slugging percentage.
• Bo Bichette has put up a slugging percentage of .443, a team-high for the Blue Jays.
• Alejandro Kirk is batting .306 with nine doubles, seven home runs and 28 walks.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Head to Head

• 7/3/2025: 8-5 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 7/2/2025: 11-9 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 7/1/2025: 12-5 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 6/30/2025: 5-4 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 4/27/2025: 11-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 4/25/2025: 4-2 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 8/4/2024: 4-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -260, Underdog Moneyline: +215)
• 8/3/2024: 8-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -235, Underdog Moneyline: +194)
• 6/30/2024: 8-1 NYY (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 6/29/2024: 9-3 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)

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