WNBA Win Total Betting: How Many Games Will the Liberty Win in 2024?

Scott Edwards Jr.
Scott Edwards Jr.@ScottEdwardsJr
WNBA Win Total Betting: How Many Games Will the Liberty Win in 2024?

After having their best season since 2002, the New York Liberty aspire to get the job done in 2024.

The Liberty turned their big offseason last year into a WNBA Finals appearance but came up short in the end as they fell to the Las Vegas Aces. They finished second in the WNBA in terms of record, winning 32 games. With the same core back for a new season, there's reason to believe regular season success (and more) should be on their way once again.

What is the New York Liberty's win total set at for 2024, per the WNBA win totals at FanDuel Sportsbook?

The Red Sox's win total is listed at 29.5.

Let's dig into what we can expect from New York this year and which side of the win total should interest you.

Odds via the WNBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change after this article is published.

New York Liberty Win Total Odds

New York Liberty Over/Under 29.5 Wins

  • Over: -128
  • Under: -102

Why New York Could Win Over 29.5 Games (-128)

The 29.5-win total is intriguing for a Liberty team that was learning to play with each other throughout the season last year. You'd feel as though they'd be able to grow on the 32 wins -- let alone take a step back to less than that. Taking the over is very tempting with how this core is made up.

Reigning WNBA MVP Breanna Stewart will lead the Liberty into the new campaign. Stewart headlines a core that also includes former WNBA MVP Jonquel Jones, Sabrina Ionescu, and Courtney Vandersloot. Outside of Vegas, no team is stacked like New York.

The reigning MVP averaged 20.8 points, 8.7 rebounds, 3.1 assists, and shot 47.2% from the field in her first season in New York. There's a reality where she can top this while someone like Ionescu only improves. Ionescu, of course, had plenty of hype when she came into the league. She's been nothing but consistent as the league's top three-point shooter, converting 44.8% of shots from beyond the arc and hitting the most threes in a single WNBA season (128).

As a team, the Liberty were second in points (89.2), second in field goal percentage (46.0%), first in three-point percentage (37.4%), and second in average plus/minus (8.7). Everything they did was just behind an Aces team that already had the chemistry heading into 2023. Now that this teams knows how to play together for a full 40-game period, it's hard to see them do anything but reach their win total from last year.

That would be comfortably Over 29.5 Games (-128).

Why New York Could Win Under 29.5 Games (-102)

Winning 32 games last season would have been the all-time record for most wins in a single season for the WNBA if the Aces didn't get 34. There's a lot to live up to when you set those expectations for yourself, and the set win total shows that for the Liberty.

Making history again isn't out of the question, but hitting the over only gives them 10 games to lose -- 25% of their season. There are so many factors that can dramatically change a season, which we must consider with New York.

Injury is always a possibility in any sport. That's just the reality. As noted above, the success of the Liberty was aided by their core staying healthy for the majority of the 2023 season. Stewart, Jones, Ionescu, and Vandersloot missed just five games combined. It's what pushed them to such an impressive record.

Another reason that they could win under 29.5 games is that the competition in the WNBA is simply getting better. While the Aces and Liberty remain at the top, the Connecticut Sun will be better with the return of Brionna Jones. The Seattle Storm had a huge offseason, bringing in Nneka Ogwumike and Skylar Diggins-Smith to pair with Jewell Loyd. And then, of course, the Indiana Fever are expected to make some noise after drafting Caitlin Clark with the first pick in the 2024 WNBA Draft, pairing her with 2023 first overall pick Aliyah Boston.

The Liberty still have one of the two teams to beat, but there's always a reason to highlight the difficulties they're bound to meet in the upcoming season.

I prefer the over rather than the under because of how talented they are, but it's going to be close with how competitive the league is becoming across the board.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.