WNBA

WNBA Championship Odds: Aces, Liberty Out in Front

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
WNBA Championship Odds: Aces, Liberty Out in Front

A month into the 2024 WNBA season, things are officially heating up.

While there haven't been too many surprises early on, the playoff picture is beginning to take form. With that, we're starting to get a better idea of who will contend for the 2024 WNBA Championship.

Let's dive into the current WNBA Championship odds via the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook.

WNBA Championship Odds

WNBA Championship
Odds
Las Vegas Aces+100
New York Liberty+190
Connecticut Sun+1200
Seattle Storm+1500
Minnesota Lynx+1700
Phoenix Mercury+3300
Dallas Wings+4200
View Full Table

Las Vegas Aces (+100)

The two-time defending champion Las Vegas Aces are the current favorites to win their third straight WNBA title at +100 odds. Entering the first full week of June, their odds have not changed from the preseason.

The Aces are off to another hot start, having won four of their first six games. They have the second-best offensive rating and fourth-best net rating in the W -- though they've played a league-low six games thus far. At 4-2, the Aces are in fourth place overall and second in the Western Conference.

Vegas has dropped to seventh in defensive rating early on, but they still aren't at full strength. Chelsea Gray -- a 2023 All-WNBA Second Teamer -- has yet to play this season and remains without a timetable to return.

Even so, the Aces aren't short on star power. A'ja Wilson is off to a blistering start, averaging the second-most points (26.5) and most rebounds (12.5) per game. She is a -130 favorite to win the 2024 WNBA MVP.

Jackie Young (20.7 points; 7.7 assists; 5.5 rebounds) and Kelsey Plum (18.7 points; 5.7 assists) have also stepped up in Gray's absence. Upon her return, the Aces will again have one of the top four-person lineups in the W.

Vegas further bolstered their hopes for another deep run with the recent addition of Tiffany Hayes. The 11-year vet had announced her retirement in the offseason before inking a one-year deal with the Aces at the end of May. She has yet to play in 2024 but averaged 12.1 points per game and shot 36.6% from three last season.

It's early, but the Aces have shown no signs of a championship hangover. In their quest for a three-peat, Vegas is a rightful favorite to win the 2024 WNBA Championship.

New York Liberty (+190)

The New York Liberty are one of the few teams who have shortened their odds from the preseason. After entering the year with +230 odds to win the 'ship, New York's odds have dipped to +190 a month into the season.

After finishing as the runner-up in 2023, the Liberty have gotten off to a strong start this season. Their 7-2 record is good for second in the WNBA, and they lead the league in offensive rating. With an improved defense, New York has the second-best net rating (+12.5) through nine games.

Breanna Stewart's numbers are down a tick from last year's MVP season, but she's still putting up 17.9 points and 9.3 rebounds per game. Sabrina Ionescu (17.2 points; 5.4 assists) continues to produce, as well. Despite neither of New York's stars shooting particularly well, they've won plenty.

Jonquel Jones (15.0 points; 8.7 rebounds) has seen her numbers jump back up after something of a down year in 2023 with Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (12.7 points) and Courtney Vandersloot (7.8 points and 5.3 assists) rounding out one of the most experienced and well-rounded starting fives in the league.

We know who this Liberty team is at this point. They elected to run back last year's team, and the early results have been promising. Still, unless something happens to Vegas, New York will sit comfortably behind the Aces in terms of championship odds.

Connecticut Sun (+1200)

The Connecticut Sun have been the best team in the W thus far. Not only are they the last undefeated team at 8-0, but the Sun also lead the league with a +13.3 net rating.

They're fourth in offensive rating, first in defensive rating, and second in total rebound rate -- all while playing at the slowest pace in the league. The Sun have forced other teams to play their game, and it hasn't gone well for the rest of the league.

Alyssa Thomas has been among the top all-around contributors in the sport, averaging 13.8 points, 9.6 rebound, and 9.0 assists per game. She has the second-shortest odds to win MVP (+500) despite attempting her fewest shots per game since 2018.

That's in part because DeWanna Bonner is having arguably the best season of her career. The 14-year vet is averaging 19.0 points per game on 47.5% shooting despite shooting only 24.4% from three thus far. She's been over 30% the last three seasons, so there's somehow room for the leading scorer of the league's first-place team.

With DiJonai Carrington (12.9 points) and Tyasha Harris (10.3 points) having career years, the Sun are looking like a serious threat to the Aces and Liberty...yet their odds to win the championship (+1200) haven't moved from the preseason.

That's likely because the Sun have only played one game against the four other teams with shorter than +3000 odds to win the title. However, they face the Liberty on Saturday (June 8th) in a matchup that could have major ramifications on their title odds.

Seattle Storm (+1500)

The Seattle Storm have seen their title odds drop after a slow start, but they've begun to pick it up of late. After dropping three of their first four games, the Storm have rebounded to win four straight. They have the fifth-best record (5-3) and net rating (+5.1) in the W.

Jewell Loyd continues to be one of the top high-volume scorers in the league, putting up 19.8 points per game. She and Skylar Diggins-Smith (14.4 points; 6.1 assists) have both shot under 40% early on but can still safely be considered one of the top backcourts in the game.

The Storm have gotten incredibly strong production from their frontcourt, namely Nneka Ogwumike. The long-time L.A. Spark has transitioned seamlessly to Seattle, averaging 18.7 points and 7.3 rebounds per game while shooting 64% from the floor. Along with Ezi Magbegor (13.6 points; 8.6 rebounds; 3.0 blocks), the Storm are quickly looking like a problem, inside and out.

Still, there are question marks with the Storm. Four of their five wins have come against the Indiana Fever and Washington Mystics -- teams with a combined 2-17 record. They enters road matchups against the Aces and Lynx this week, so we'll have a better idea of whether or not the Storm are legitimate title contenders soon.

Minnesota Lynx (+1700)

The Minnesota Lynx have been the surprise team of the 2024 WNBA season. After sporting +4200 odds to win the title before the season, the Lynx championship odds have shortened to +1700. If their early play continues, that number could continue to dwindle.

At 6-2, the Lynx have the third-best record in the league. They have the third-best offensive rating and second-best defensive rating, culminating in a +10.5 net rating -- third in the W.

The Lynx have already beaten Seattle twice, and they crushed New York at home. They did lose to Connecticut and Vegas, but they've yet to play any of the bottom-three teams.

Napheesa Collier looks like a full-blown superstar, averaging 21.4 points, 11.8 rebounds, and 4.3 stocks (steals plus blocks) per game. She currently has the third-shortest odds to win MVP at +750.

With Kayla McBride (16.0 points) shooting a blistering 49.1% from three, Alanna Smith (12.9 points) taking a step forward, and Courtney Williams (11.5 points; 5.3 rebounds; 5.8 assists) filling up the box score, the Lynx have the makings of a real contender. Throw in Dorka Juhasz's recent season debut and a potential late season return from Diamond Miller, and there's a chance we haven't even see the best version of Minnesota.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.