WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Tuesday 5/21/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Tuesday 5/21/24

The WNBA is back, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Dallas Wings at Atlanta Dream

Arike Ogunbowale Over 30.5 Points + Assists (-108)

With Satou Sabally out until the Olympic Break, I figured Arike Ogunbowale would put up some gaudy numbers for the Dallas Wings.

Last season, Ogunbowale finished 12th in usage rate (25.5%) and fifth in scoring (21.2 points) while attempting the second-most in field goal attempts. And, that was with Sabally's 24% usage rate alongside her.

So, it wasn't exactly a surprise to see her notch 25 points and 7 assists in the season opener.

But with Natasha Howard breaking her foot at the end of that win, things could start getting silly for Ogunbowale.

We saw Arike tie her career-high with 28 shot attempts in her first game without Howard, finishing with 35 points and 3 assists. She played 40 minutes in the loss and has now been on the floor for 78 of 80 available minutes this season.

She's running a 30.8% usage rate through two games and should continue to have the ball in her hands early and often tonight against the Atlanta Dream.

The Dream led the league in pace and featured a middle-of-the-pack defense last year, and that's carried over into 2024. They've allowed 81 and 88 points through two games, surrendering 38 points to Phoenix Mercury guard Kahleah Copper the last time out.

With their best perimeter defender still banged up, the Dream aren't in a position to slow down high-usage guards right now. Ogunbowale torched them for 24.8 points and 4.8 assists per game in five 2023 matchups, and I expect more of the same tonight.

Arike Ogunbowale could go over 30.5 points plus assists with scoring alone, so I'll happily jump on this prop at -108 on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Washington Mystics at Los Angeles Sparks

Sparks Moneyline (-120)
Cameron Brink Over 9.5 Points (-120)

The Washington Mystics and Los Angeles Sparks are both winless entering Tuesday's action.

Something has to give tonight.

The Mystics have played a tough schedule thus far, losing to the Liberty by five, the Sun by seven, and the Storm by nine. They cracked 80 points just once in those three games, affirming preseason concerns about their offense with Elena Delle Donne out of the picture.

Washington's offense took another hit when their top returning scorer from last year's squad, Brittney Sykes, injured her ankle six minutes into their loss to Connecticut. Sykes has already been ruled out tonight.

That doesn't bode well for them tonight, especially against an L.A. side that battled the defending champs in Vegas their last time out. The Sparks lost by seven but notably pounded the Aces for 52 points in the paint while shooting 51.5% overall. LA has gotten 50.3% of their points from the paint in the first two games, and that's an area I see them excelling in again tonight.

With center Shakira Austin still on a minutes restriction, the Mystics have let up 38.7 points in the paint (fifth-most) and 15.7 second chance points (third-most) per game. They've allowed opponents to shoot a league-high 68.1% from within five feet.

The Sparks, meanwhile, are shooting a blistering 72.5% from inside the five feet. It's a small sample, sure, but they don't have much shooting aside from their backcourt. Dearica Hamby has scored 49 points through two games, averaging a league-leading 17 points in the paint per game. She should again lead the Sparks on the glass against a Mystics interior that ranks dead-last in rebound rate (45.4%) through three games.

Hamby's points prop has ballooned to 18.5 after a pair of 20-point games. And, while her 26.7% usage rate is encouraging, I can't get to this 18.5-point prop tonight.

But, I can certainly get on board with Cameron Brink over 9.5 points, currently at -118 odds on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Brink scored 11 points (4-6 FG) in her season debut but managed just 3 points (1-7 FG) in their loss to the Aces. Still, she saw 25 minutes and managed not to foul out in her second game. In a softer matchup, expect the No. 2 pick's usage to continue to climb. That should help her crack double-digit points and hit the over on her points prop.

So, in what's essentially a pick 'em, I'll lay the -128 odds to ride the Sparks moneyline at home and back that with Cameron Brink to post at least 9.5 points given -118 odds.

Considering that these two bets correlate, we can certainly look to put them in a Same Game Parlay, too. As of Tuesday afternoon, Sparks moneyline combined with Brink over 9.5 points nets +184 odds on FanDuel Sportsbook.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.