WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Saturday 5/18/24

Austin Swaim
Austin SwaimASwaim3
WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Saturday 5/18/24

The WNBA is back, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Indiana Fever at New York Liberty

Liberty -13.0 (-110)

The Indiana Fever have too much of their roster to build out to compete in a game like this.

While they added superstar Caitlin Clark to Aliyah Boston in the offseason, the results simply haven't been that much better through two games against elite defenses. The Connecticut Sun and New York Liberty have held Indiana to an ugly 84.0 offensive rating and a likely-more-sticky 121.3 defensive rating. That's a putrid -37.2 net rating for those counting at home.

Meanwhile, the reigning WNBA runner-ups showed a bit of rust to only defeat Washington (on the road) by five in their opener, but New York smashed Indiana by 36 points in their building on Thursday. The Liberty's +10.1 net rating at home last year was second in the league, so the home opener should be a raucous environment.

Knowing the public is likely backing Clark to will her team into things, this spread just isn't very large when the Liberty (29.1% from three) haven't even found their rhythm from deep yet.

Atlanta Dream at Phoenix Mercury

Dream Team Total Over 86.5 Points (-111)
Rhyne Howard Over 17.5 Points (-114)

When you build your entire defense around Brittney Griner's shot-blocking and she's out of the lineup, it's a tough ask. I like points in this game for the visiting Atlanta Dream.

The Phoenix Mercury have scuffled to a 106.0 defensive rating thus far, and they've played at the third-fastest pace in the W (102.0). A meeting with the L.V. Aces is responsible for those metrics, but it checks out with a league-worst 107.9 defensive rating a year ago with Griner in the fold. Woof.

Not much is expected of the Dream in 2024, but they're second in offensive rating (110.8) through an opening matchup with the L.A. Sparks. The Sparks had a worse record but better defensive rating (100.0) than the Mercury -- and that was before adding Cameron Brink to protect the paint. After scoring 92 points on Los Angeles, I'm not sure why Phoenix sans Griner would be a step back.

Leading scorer Rhyne Howard likely contributes to them. Howard's 29.4% usage rate is fifth-highest in the W at present, and the former top pick has now topped this mark in her last five contests dating back to last year's postseason and end of the regular season. She's likely improving entering this soft matchup, too.

Rotowire has Howard projected for 18.2 points, and I also think this line should be closer to 20.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.