WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props for Opening Night

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props for Opening Night

The WNBA is back, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Indiana Fever at Connecticut Sun

Caitlin Clark To Record 6+ Assists (-145)

(UPDATE: Caitlin Clark now has -335 odds to record 6+ assists. I can't get there with the -335 odds, but I do think there's still value with Caitlin Clark to record 8+ assists at +124 odds now that Kelsey Mitchell is doubtful).

Caitlin Clark's WNBA debut for the Indiana Fever figures to be one of the most anticipated in recent memory.

College basketball's all-time leading scorer is looking to lead the Fever to their first playoff appearance since 2016. That appears to be the expectation, at least according to the WNBA Futures market on FanDuel Sportsbook. Indiana boasts -310 odds to make the playoffs and is tied for the fifth-highest win total over/under (20.5).

Clark herself has -700 odds to win Rookie of the Year and the third-shortest odds to win MVP at +950.

Clearly, expectations are high.

But for as much as her scoring has been highlighted, it's the playmaking that I think will translate the quickest. Clark averaged 8.2 assists per game across four years at Iowa, peaking at 8.9 this past season.

She now joins an Indiana Fever team that has a pair of budding interior stars in NaLyssa Smith (15.5 points per game in 2023) and Aliyah Boston (14.5). Kelsey Mitchell -- a career-37% shooter from beyond the arc who's averaged at least 17.5 points per game four seasons running -- should help that eventually, but she is notably doubtful for Tuesday's opener.

Still, the supporting cast should allow Clark to rack up assists left and right this season. She dished out six dimes in Indiana's preseason finale -- the exact line we need her to hit for this prop.

Granted, the matchup is tough. The Connecticut Sun had the third-best record in the league last season and finished with the second-best defensive rating (98.8). They let up the second-fewest assists (19.0) and fewest total points (79.0) per game. The Sun return largely the same team from last season, and they'll be a tough first test for the rookie.

But Caitlin Clark figures to have the ball in her hands early and often. She saw a 27.6% usage rate and registered a 28.6% assist rate in the preseason, marks that would've ranked 6th and 23rd last season. Clark and her teammates have already spoken ad nauseum about her passing, and that's something I expect to show up in the box score from opening night.

That makes Caitlin Clark to record six-plus assists an intriguing wager at -145, even if it comes against one of the W's top defenses.

Phoenix Mercury at Las Vegas Aces

Aces -16.0 (-112)

The Las Vegas Aces will hang their 2024 championship banner prior to Tuesday's season-opener against the Phoenix Mercury. Following the ring ceremony, the two-time defending champs will look to cover as 16-point home favorites.

After one of the most dominant seasons in league history, Vegas is in a nice spot to cover on opening night. They had the best record (34-6) in the league last season, setting a WNBA record for wins. Their .850 win percentage ranked fifth all-time while their 92.8 points per game ranked second.

The Aces led the league in both offensive (113.0) and defensive rating (97.7) in 2023. They were the most efficient team in the league, boasting the top assist-to-turnover ratio (1.85) and effective field-goal percentage (55.3%).

That helped spur them to 20 wins by 15-plus points, another single-season record.

Vegas has +100 odds to win the WNBA Championship in 2024, and it's easy to see why.

They return four of five starters from last season, with the one exception being the recently retired Candace Parker. While the future hall-of-famer will be missed, she was the most expendable of the five and only appeared in 18 regular-season games last season. Two-time MVP A'ja Wilson and her 22.8 points per game returns, as do Kelsey Plum (18.7) and Jackie Young (17.6). Wilson is a +340 favorite to be the top points scorer on opening night.

Notably, 15.3 point-per-game scorer Chelsea Gray is out for the opener, but the trio of Wilson, Plum, and Young are still more than capable of covering this line. That was the most-utilized three-player lineup in the W last season, and they compiled a +22.8 net rating together.

Consequently, the Aces shouldn't have too much trouble against a Mercury team that had the worst defensive rating (107.9) in the W last season.

Granted, Phoenix projects be better in 2024. They have the sixth-highest win total over/under (18.5) on FanDuel Sportsbook and boast -310 odds to make the playoffs.

That's largely because of their off-season additions. While franchise cornerstones Brittney Griner and Diani Taurasi are back, the Mercury added Natasha Cloud, Kahleah Cooper, and Rebecca Allen. All three vets should help their offense with two-time All-Defensive team member Cloud aiding the defense, too.

The problem is that Griner is nursing a foot injury -- one that kept her out of the preseason. She was spotted on a roller after their May 10th game, and her status remains up in the air. The Mercury went 0-9 without her last season, losing by an average of 18.6 points. That included a 20-point loss to the Aces -- the first of four regular season losses to Vegas.

Even with their additions, a Griner-less Mercury team doesn't stand much of a chance against the Aces. Look for the defending champs to kick off their quest for a three-peat in dominant fashion, covering as 16-point favorites in the process.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.