Wizards vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 21

Wizards vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
• Time: 5 p.m. ET
• Venue: Capital One Arena -- Washington D.C.
• Coverage: FDSOK and MNMT

The Oklahoma City Thunder (55-15) are heavy favorites (-21.5) as they try to continue a five-game road winning streak when they take on the Washington Wizards (16-53) on Saturday, March 21, 2026 at Capital One Arena. The contest airs at 5 p.m. ET on FDSOK and MNMT. The matchup has an over/under of 231.5.

Wizards vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Wizards vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (85.6%)

Wizards vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have registered a 33-36-1 record against the spread this season.
• In the Wizards' 69 games this year, they have 29 wins against the spread.
• Games involving the Thunder have hit the over 36 times out of 69 chances this season.
• Wizards games this year have eclipsed the over/under 37 times in 69 opportunities (53.6%).
• Oklahoma City has done a better job covering the spread on the road (17-16-1) than it has at home (16-20-0).
• The Thunder have exceeded the total in a lower percentage of home games (47.2%) than games on the road (55.9%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Washington has a better winning percentage at home (.472, 17-19-0 record) than on the road (.364, 12-21-0).
• Wizards games have gone above the over/under 52.8% of the time at home (19 of 36), and 54.5% of the time on the road (18 of 33).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.5 points, 4.5 boards and 6.6 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.2 points, 1.7 assists and 9 rebounds.
• Cason Wallace averages 8.6 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists, shooting 42.6% from the field and 33.9% from downtown, with 1.3 made treys per game.
• Ajay Mitchell is averaging 14.2 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists.
• Isaiah Joe is averaging 11 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.4 assists.

Wizards Leaders

• Alex Sarr's numbers on the season are 16.5 points, 7.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. He is also sinking 48.6% of his shots from the field and 33.3% from 3-point range, with an average of 1 trey.
• The Wizards get 10 points per game from Bub Carrington, plus 3.6 rebounds and 4.5 assists.
• Justin Champagnie averages 8.4 points, 5.6 boards and 1.1 assists. He is draining 51.1% of his shots from the field.
• Bilal Coulibaly averages 11 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists. He is draining 41.5% of his shots from the field and 31% from 3-point range, with 1.1 treys per contest.
• The Wizards receive 12.4 points per game from Tre Johnson, plus 2.8 rebounds and 2 assists.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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