Wisconsin vs Minnesota Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 5

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (15-14, 7-11 Big Ten) will try to end a four-game home losing streak when they square off against the Wisconsin Badgers (22-7, 12-6 Big Ten) on March 5, 2025 at Williams Arena.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Wisconsin vs. Minnesota Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Wednesday, March 5, 2025
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Big Ten Network
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Arena: Williams Arena
Wisconsin vs. Minnesota Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Wisconsin win (74.2%)
Before making an informed wager on Wisconsin-Minnesota contest (in which Wisconsin is a 6.5-point favorite and the total is set at 140.5 points), keep reading for a few betting insights and trends for Wednesday's game.
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Wisconsin vs. Minnesota: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Wisconsin is 18-11-0 ATS this season.
- Minnesota is 11-18-0 ATS this year.
- Wisconsin covers the spread when it is a 6.5-point favorite or more 46.2% of the time. That's less often than Minnesota covers as an underdog of 6.5 or more (63.6%).
- The Badgers have done a better job covering the spread on the road (7-3-0) than they have at home (8-8-0).
- This year, the Golden Gophers are 5-13-0 at home against the spread (.278 winning percentage). On the road, they are 6-3-0 ATS (.667).
- Wisconsin has 13 wins against the spread in 18 conference games this year.
- Minnesota's Big Ten record against the spread is 9-9-0.
Wisconsin vs. Minnesota: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Wisconsin has been the moneyline favorite in 19 games this season and has come away with the win 17 times (89.5%) in those contests.
- The Badgers have a mark of 9-1 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -275 or better on the moneyline.
- Minnesota has gone 7-10 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 41.2% of those games).
- The Golden Gophers have a 6-4 record (winning 60% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +220 or longer.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Wisconsin has a 73.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Wisconsin vs. Minnesota Head-to-Head Comparison
- Wisconsin averages 81.2 points per game (30th in college basketball) while giving up 70.6 per contest (137th in college basketball). It has a +309 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 10.6 points per game.
- Wisconsin's leading scorer, John Tonje, ranks 32nd in the country scoring 19.2 points per game.
- Minnesota has a -30 scoring differential, putting up 68.3 points per game (317th in college basketball) and conceding 69.3 (96th in college basketball).
- Dawson Garcia's team-leading 19.3 points per game rank him 30th in the nation.
- The 32.9 rebounds per game the Badgers average rank 124th in the country, and are 2.1 more than the 30.8 their opponents grab per outing.
- Nolan Winter paces the team with 6.1 rebounds per game (296th in college basketball play).
- The Golden Gophers are 292nd in college basketball at 30.1 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31 their opponents average.
- Garcia's 7.5 rebounds per game lead the Golden Gophers and rank 106th in college basketball.
- Wisconsin's 105.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 13th in college basketball, and the 91.8 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 142nd in college basketball.
- The Golden Gophers average 93.8 points per 100 possessions (236th in college basketball), while giving up 95.2 points per 100 possessions (233rd in college basketball).
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