Who Should You Bet on to Be the Fourth Pick in This Year's NFL Draft?

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
Who Should You Bet on to Be the Fourth Pick in This Year's NFL Draft?

While free agency is stealing the show right now, the 2024 NFL Draft is only a little over a month away, giving us a bit more time to try to predict how the first round will shake out. FanDuel Sportsbook is offering a variety of markets in the NFL Draft odds section.

One of the markets available is centered around who will be taken with the fourth overall pick in the first round. Quarterbacks are expected to dominate the early portion of the draft, with Caleb Williams now commanding -2000 odds to be the No. 1 pick.

Once Williams comes off of the board, the consensus next two picks are Drake Maye and Jayden Daniels -- in some order. Who could be the fourth player to hear his name called when the first round of this year's draft begins?

While considering multiple scenarios, let's take a look at the latest odds for the No. 4 pick of the 2024 NFL Draft and break down the top contenders for the selection.

NFL Draft Odds

2024 NFL Draft No. 4 Pick
Marvin Harrison Jr.-250
J.J. McCarthy+650
Malik Nabers+750
Jayden Daniels+1500
Rome Odunze+1900
Dallas Turner+2900
Joe Alt+3400
View Full Table

Marvin Harrison Jr. (-250)

The Arizona Cardinals are currently holding the No. 4 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, and they appear to be fully committed to Kyler Murray as their franchise quarterback. Assuming the Cardinals don't trade back, the primary need on Arizona's roster is the wide receiver position.

The best wideout prospect in this year's draft is Marvin Harrison Jr. out of Ohio State, and he'd give the Cardinals a legitimate No. 1 option for Murray to target. Harrison registered the fifth-most yards per route run (3.44) and the 36th-highest average depth of target (13.1) among receivers with 75-plus targets in 2023, via PFF.

Marquise Brown remains a free agent while Trey McBride is currently the only other player on the Cards' roster who received 60-plus targets last season after the Cardinals traded away Rondale Moore. Unless the New England Patriots -- or another team -- makes the decision to take Harrison at No. 3, the former Buckeye is the most likely player to hear his name called at No. 4.

MHJ is also the overwhelming favorite to be the first wideout taken as he's listed at -1050 odds in that market.

J.J. McCarthy (+650)

Another scenario that would prevent Harrison from being the No. 4 overall pick is one that involves a quarterback-needy team wanting to move up for a signal-caller. Williams, Maye, and Daniels are expected to be the first three quarterbacks off the board in this year's draft, but J.J. McCarthy has seen his stock rise in the pre-draft process.

The list of teams desperate for a starting quarterback has declined with the Atlanta Falcons signing Kirk Cousins and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers re-signing Baker Mayfield. That leaves teams like the Minnesota Vikings, Las Vegas Raiders, and Denver Broncos to potentially make a move to get McCarthy early in the first round.

Much has been made about McCarthy attempting just the 53rd-most passes (333) in college football in his final season at Michigan. On the other hand, McCarthy's athletic ability, arm talent, and his potential at 21 years old make him an enticing prospect for teams that need a long-term solution under center.

Malik Nabers (+750)

Teams looking for a productive and talented wide receiver in the 2024 NFL Draft will have no have a shortage of options. As mentioned, Harrison has -1050 odds to be the first receiver drafted, making it very unlikely that Nabers is the fourth-overall selection.

For Nabers to be the No. 4 pick in this year's draft, the Cardinals -- or another team -- would either need to view Nabers as the preferred wideout over Harrison, or one of the three quarterbacks in the trio of Williams, Maye, and Daniels would need to have an unexpected fall in the first round, resulting in MHJ going in the top three and then Nabers being taken fourth.

To conclude his collegiate career at LSU in 2023, Nabers posted the third-most yards per route run (3.64) and the 37th-most yards after the catch per reception (6.6). While Nabers is certainly an extremely skilled receiver, it's hard to come up with a scenario where he'll be the fourth overall player selected in this year's draft.

Jayden Daniels (+1500)

The expectation at the moment is that some order of Williams, Maye, and Daniels will be the first three picks when the 2024 NFL Draft begins. However, there is an outcome in the first four picks that would allow someone like Daniels to slip to No. 4 in the first round.

In this sequence of events, Williams is the No. 1 overall pick and Maye follows him at the No. 2 overall pick. Instead of using an early pick on a quarterback after signing Jacoby Brissett, the Patriots could elect to take a difference-maker at wide receiver by selecting Harrison while addressing quarterback via trade or later in the draft.

This would likely lead to one of the remaining quarterback-needy teams trading up to No. 4 with the Cardinals to make a play on Daniels. Despite it being improbable that quarterbacks aren't the first three picks in this year's draft, all it takes is one team prioritizing Harrison -- or one of the premier offensive tackle prospects -- to make this a possibility.

After all, you never know with the draft. Will Levis was viewed as close to a lock to go in the first round a year ago before sliding to Day 2.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook and check out all of the NFL betting options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.