Wells Fargo Championship: Betting Picks and Key Stats

Zack Bussiere
Zack Bussiere@ZackBussiere
Wells Fargo Championship: Betting Picks and Key Stats

Following Taylor Pendrith’s first career victory at THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson on Sunday, the PGA Tour heads to the Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, for the Wells Fargo Championship -- the sixth signature event of the season.

Of note, Scottie Scheffler -- who has won four of his last five events -- is not in the field this week.

Ludvig Aberg withdrew on Monday as a precaution due to lingering knee soreness.

Here's all you need to know for this week’s signature event, which does not include a cut.

Quail Hollow Club Course Info

All course data from GCSAA unless otherwise noted.

  • Par: 71
  • Distance: 7,558 (long)
  • Average Fairway Width: 31.2 yards (30th of 88 courses)
  • Average Green Size: 6,578
  • Green Type: Poa
  • Stimpmeter: 12
  • Recent Winning Scores: -19, -8, -10, -15, -12

Quail Hollow Club Course Key Stats

Wells Fargo Championship Betting Picks to Target

These picks stand out relative to their FanDuel Sportsbook golf betting odds. All stats cited below originate at datagolf and reference ranks relative to the field over the past 50 rounds unless otherwise noted.

Xander Schauffele

To Win (+900)
First Round Leader (+1800)

Xander Schauffele leads the field this week in total strokes gained and ranks inside the top five in every strokes gained category. A lack of wins continues to dominate the narrative surrounding Schauffele, but he is one of the most consistent golfers in the world right now. He has seven top-10s and four top-5s in 11 starts this season.

He finished second here last season and gained at least a stroke per round putting, on approach and off the tee. Schauffele leads the Tour in three-putt avoidance from >25 feet (1.74%) and ranks ninth in Par 5 Birdie or Better rate (58.11%).

With Scottie Scheffler and Ludvig Aberg not in the field, I like Schauffele's chances this week and would consider him for First Round Leader, as well. His 64 in the third round last year was the second-lowest round of the tournament behind only Wyndham Clark's 63 on the same day.

Sahith Theegala

To Win (+2800)
To Finish Top 10 (+260)

Sahith Theegala brings an excellent combination of distance and putting to Quail Hollow. He is 13th in the field in driving distance and third in strokes gained: putting. He is one of only two golfers this week who rank inside the top 10 in strokes gained: putting and top 15 in distance -- the other is Xander Schauffele. Theegala also ranks 21st in strokes gained: approach, 14th in total strokes gained, and 36th in Par 5 Birdie or Better rate (53.47%).

He finished second at the most recent signature event two weeks ago and is playing the best golf of his career in terms of strokes gained averages. He finished T56 in his debut here last season due to lost strokes around the greens and off the tee. His play around the greens remains inconsistent, but he has gained strokes off the tee in each of his last seven events.

Justin Thomas

To Win (+2500)
To Finish Top 10 (+240)

After three missed cuts, a T64, and a T12 Justin Thomas finally got back on track at the RBC Heritage with a T5 finish. He gained strokes in every category in that event, his first time doing so since the Arnold Palmer Invitational in early March. Thomas won the PGA Championship at this course in 2017 when it played 7,488 yards. It will play 7,558 yards this week, making it the fourth-longest course in datagolf's course table and the second-longest Par 71.

Thomas is sixth in the field in driving distance but 66th in accuracy. His lack of accuracy hasn't hurt him much here in the past. He has hit fewer fairways than the field in five of his six appearances here with finishes of T7, MC, 1st, T21, and T26. He has gained strokes off the tee and on approach in every appearance at Quail Hollow. Putting is a concern, but outside of his missed cut (2016), Thomas has been much closer to average here with the flat stick. He is coming off the second-best putting performance of his season at the RBC Heritage (+0.80 strokes gained per round).

Tony Finau

To Win (+3500)
To Finish Top 20 (+120)

Tony Finau has also struggled with the flat stick this season, to put it nicely. He is 67th in the field in strokes gained: putting. Last year, he finished T23 here while losing -0.53 strokes putting per round -- he gained strokes in every other category.

Par 5s will be important this week. There are only three of them, but they represent the best scoring opportunities on the course. Finau is seventh on the Tour this season in Par 5 Birdie or Better rate (58.55%), 15th in driving distance, and 3rd in strokes gained: approach. Despite his struggles on the greens, he has a T12 (RBC Heritage) and T2 (Texas Children's Houston Open) in two of his last three events.

Harris English

To Finish Top 10 (+450)
To Finish Top 20 (+170)

Harris English has five top-20 finishes in 11 events this season, plus two near misses of T21 (Arnold Palmer Invitational) and T22 (The Masters). He is seventh in the field in strokes gained: putting, 28th in distance, and 15th in accuracy. He is also 12th in strokes gained: around the greens. The weak spot in his game is his approach play -- 52nd in the field in strokes gained: approach -- but he has found success at Quail Hollow in the past. He finished T3 here last year while gaining +2.0 strokes per round on approach -- second-best in the field.

English's approach game is better at the distances that this course requires. Quail Hollow features an above-average number of approach shots from 150-175 yards, 175-200 yards, and 200-225 yards. Looking at Greens in Regulation percentage, English is 22nd on Tour from 150-175 yards (70.92%), 28th from 175-200 yards (62.39%), and 14th from 200+ yards (54.79%).

Adam Schenk

To Finish Top 10 (+450)
To Finish Top 20 (+175)

Adam Schenk is 23rd in the field in distance, 31st in accuracy, 28th in strokes gained: putting and 25th in strokes gained: around the green. He is 57th in strokes gained: approach but has been playing far better than that recently with at least +0.59 strokes gained on approach in each of his last four events. That improvement has produced a string of good results for Schenk, including a T5 (Valero Texas Open), T12 (The Masters), and T13 (RBC Heritage).

Due to poor approach play and play around the greens, Schenk has missed the cut in his last two appearances at Quail Hollow (2023, 2021), but he did have a T13 finish in 2019. He has putted well here in the past, and if he can pair that with his recently improved approach play, he could have another good week.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.