VCU vs Dayton College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for A-10 Tournament Championship

The No. 4 seed Dayton Flyers (23-10, 12-6 A-10) are in the A-10 championship game against the No. 2 VCU Rams (26-7, 15-3 A-10). The title game is on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

VCU vs. Dayton Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 15, 2026
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Arena: PPG Paints Arena

VCU vs. Dayton Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: VCU win (65.4%)

Check out the betting insights and trends below before placing a bet on Sunday's VCU-Dayton spread (VCU -3.5) or over/under (138.5 points).

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VCU vs. Dayton: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• VCU has compiled a 16-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Dayton has covered 14 times in 32 matchups with a spread this season.
• VCU and Dayton cover the same percentage of spreads this season (50%) when the spread conditions of the game are equal to or greater than Sunday's line (Rams as favorites by 3.5 or more and Flyers as underdogs by 3.5 or more).
• At home, the Rams sport a worse record against the spread (7-10-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (6-4-0).
• The Flyers' winning percentage against the spread at home is .471 (8-9-0). Away, it is .364 (4-7-0).
• VCU has beaten the spread eight times in 19 conference games.
• Dayton is 8-11-0 against the spread in A-10 play this season.

VCU vs. Dayton: Moneyline Betting Stats

• VCU has been the moneyline favorite in 24 games this season and has come away with the win 21 times (87.5%) in those contests.
• The Rams have a win-loss record of 20-1 when favored by -172 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• Dayton has won 44.4% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (4-5).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +140 or longer, the Flyers have a record of 3-5 (37.5%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies VCU has a 63.2% chance of walking away with the win.

VCU vs. Dayton Head-to-Head Comparison

• VCU averages 81.9 points per game (52nd in college basketball) while allowing 71.8 per outing (119th in college basketball). It has a +335 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 10.1 points per game.
• Terrence Hill Jr.'s team-leading 14.4 points per game ranks 356th in the nation.
• Dayton puts up 74.7 points per game (211th in college basketball) while giving up 69.9 per contest (70th in college basketball). It has a +160 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 4.8 points per game.
• Javon Bennett is ranked 201st in the country with a team-leading 16.3 points per game.
• The 33.6 rebounds per game the Rams average rank 94th in the nation, and are 3.6 more than the 30 their opponents pull down per contest.
• Lazar Djokovic's 5.4 rebounds per game lead the Rams and rank 451st in college basketball play.
• The 30.2 rebounds per game the Flyers accumulate rank 275th in the nation. Their opponents collect 31.
• Amael L'Etang leads the team with 5.9 rebounds per game (307th in college basketball).
• VCU's 104.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 40th in college basketball, and the 91.5 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 83rd in college basketball.
• The Flyers rank 165th in college basketball with 98.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 92nd defensively with 91.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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